Recent results in Group G have tightened the contest for last place, with New Zealand, Egypt, Iran, and Belgium each earning a single point from opening draws. The All Whites and Iran played out a high-scoring 2-2 stalemate while Belgium and Egypt shared a 1-1 result, leaving all four sides level on points and goal difference entering the remaining fixtures. New Zealand’s lower FIFA ranking and limited depth create the highest implied probability for finishing bottom, yet Egypt’s defensive organization and Iran’s counterattacking resilience keep the bottom-three battle wide open. With two rounds left, head-to-head results, goal differential, and any late injuries or rotation decisions among Belgium’s experienced squad will likely decide which team ends with the fewest points.