Resident Evil's dominant $60 million opening the prior weekend, the franchise's best ever and a career high for director Zach Cregger, positions it as the clear frontrunner to repeat at number one. Strong word-of-mouth, a B+ CinemaScore, and typical horror hold patterns support trader consensus around its 74% implied probability, as second-weekend drops often leave it above $25 million. New wide releases including Heart of the Beast, Forgotten Island, and Primetime carry solid but uncertain tracking in the mid-teens, while the Avengers: Endgame Encore re-release projects around $20 million-plus yet faces limited theatrical footprint. Market-implied odds reflect these competitive dynamics and the tight window before final grosses lock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日今週末の興行収入No.1 ?
バイオハザード 71%
アベンジャーズ:エンドゲーム・アンコール 28%
Primetime 2.8%
Heart of the Beast 1.5%

アベンジャーズ:エンドゲーム・アンコール
28%

バイオハザード
71%

Primetime
3%

Heart of the Beast
2%
バイオハザード 71%
アベンジャーズ:エンドゲーム・アンコール 28%
Primetime 2.8%
Heart of the Beast 1.5%

アベンジャーズ:エンドゲーム・アンコール
28%

バイオハザード
71%

Primetime
3%

Heart of the Beast
2%
If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...If two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
If none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to "Other".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
リゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...Resident Evil's dominant $60 million opening the prior weekend, the franchise's best ever and a career high for director Zach Cregger, positions it as the clear frontrunner to repeat at number one. Strong word-of-mouth, a B+ CinemaScore, and typical horror hold patterns support trader consensus around its 74% implied probability, as second-weekend drops often leave it above $25 million. New wide releases including Heart of the Beast, Forgotten Island, and Primetime carry solid but uncertain tracking in the mid-teens, while the Avengers: Endgame Encore re-release projects around $20 million-plus yet faces limited theatrical footprint. Market-implied odds reflect these competitive dynamics and the tight window before final grosses lock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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