With the 2027 Oscars race still in its early stages following recent festival premieres, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor field where no single performance has pulled ahead decisively. John Malkovich’s strong Venice reception for his lead role in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine* and Andrew Scott’s Telluride buzz in *Elsinore* have lifted their implied probabilities, while Matt Damon’s physically demanding turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Tom Cruise’s overdue-narrative push in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s *Digger* sustain top-tier positioning. The competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and how fall awards season momentum shifts voter consensus before nominations voting in January.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞受賞
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ 25.9%
マット・デイモン 25%
トム・クルーズ 19%
アンドリュー・スコット 18%
$113,512 Vol.
$113,512 Vol.
2027/03/14
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ
26%
マット・デイモン
25%
トム・クルーズ
19%
アンドリュー・スコット
18%
ロバート・パティンソン
9%
ジェレミー・ストロング
3%
セバスチャン・スタン
2%
ライアン・ゴズリング
2%
ティモシー・シャラメ
1%
ジャファー・ジャクソン
1%
サム・ロックウェル
1%
ペドロ・パスカル
1%
ハビエル・バルデム
<1%
ブラッド・ピット
<1%
アダム・ドライバー
<1%
ロバート・アラマヨ
<1%
ジョン・タトゥーロ
<1%
ジョシュ・オコナー
<1%
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ 25.9%
マット・デイモン 25%
トム・クルーズ 19%
アンドリュー・スコット 18%
$113,512 Vol.
$113,512 Vol.
2027/03/14
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ
$6,934 Vol.
26%
マット・デイモン
$32,829 Vol.
25%
トム・クルーズ
$11,022 Vol.
19%
アンドリュー・スコット
$12,004 Vol.
18%
ロバート・パティンソン
$4,335 Vol.
9%
ジェレミー・ストロング
$4,010 Vol.
3%
セバスチャン・スタン
$2,736 Vol.
2%
ライアン・ゴズリング
$4,749 Vol.
2%
ティモシー・シャラメ
$3,663 Vol.
1%
ジャファー・ジャクソン
$4,182 Vol.
1%
サム・ロックウェル
$4,543 Vol.
1%
ペドロ・パスカル
$3,056 Vol.
1%
ハビエル・バルデム
$2,871 Vol.
<1%
ブラッド・ピット
$8,083 Vol.
<1%
アダム・ドライバー
$2,343 Vol.
<1%
ロバート・アラマヨ
$3,086 Vol.
<1%
ジョン・タトゥーロ
$1,558 Vol.
<1%
ジョシュ・オコナー
$1,508 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars race still in its early stages following recent festival premieres, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor field where no single performance has pulled ahead decisively. John Malkovich’s strong Venice reception for his lead role in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine* and Andrew Scott’s Telluride buzz in *Elsinore* have lifted their implied probabilities, while Matt Damon’s physically demanding turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Tom Cruise’s overdue-narrative push in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s *Digger* sustain top-tier positioning. The competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and how fall awards season momentum shifts voter consensus before nominations voting in January.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
音量
$113,512終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars race still in its early stages following recent festival premieres, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor field where no single performance has pulled ahead decisively. John Malkovich’s strong Venice reception for his lead role in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine* and Andrew Scott’s Telluride buzz in *Elsinore* have lifted their implied probabilities, while Matt Damon’s physically demanding turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Tom Cruise’s overdue-narrative push in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s *Digger* sustain top-tier positioning. The competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and how fall awards season momentum shifts voter consensus before nominations voting in January.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$113,512終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars race still in its early stages following recent festival premieres, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor field where no single performance has pulled ahead decisively. John Malkovich’s strong Venice reception for his lead role in Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine* and Andrew Scott’s Telluride buzz in *Elsinore* have lifted their implied probabilities, while Matt Damon’s physically demanding turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Tom Cruise’s overdue-narrative push in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s *Digger* sustain top-tier positioning. The competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and how fall awards season momentum shifts voter consensus before nominations voting in January.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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