Anne Hathaway’s early frontrunner status for *The Odyssey* anchors trader sentiment at 37.5% implied probability, fueled by Christopher Nolan’s prestige project and Academy familiarity with blockbuster supporting turns. Penélope Cruz’s dual-film push in *The Invite* and *La Bola Negra* follows at 15%, reflecting established name recognition and A24 momentum. A wide-open field features emerging names like Mariana di Girolamo and Betty Gilpin alongside veterans such as Sandra Hüller, with category placement decisions and fall festival screenings as key swing factors. No one has won both lead and supporting acting Oscars in one year, adding uncertainty to multi-nominee scenarios. Guild nominations and critics’ awards in early 2027 will clarify momentum before January nominations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 :助演女優賞受賞
アン・ハサウェイ 38%
ペネロペ・クルス 16%
マリアナ・ディ・ジロラモ 6.0%
ゼンデイヤ 5.9%
$16,345 Vol.
$16,345 Vol.

アン・ハサウェイ
38%

ペネロペ・クルス
16%

マリアナ・ディ・ジロラモ
7%

ゼンデイヤ
6%

ベティ・ギルピン
6%

サンドラ・ヒュラー
5%

マーガレット・クアリー
5%

岡本多緒
4%

パーカー・ポージー
3%

イザベラ・ロッセリーニ
3%

ダニエル・デッドワイラー
3%

インディ・ナバレッテ
2%

ジェンマ・チャン
2%
アン・ハサウェイ 38%
ペネロペ・クルス 16%
マリアナ・ディ・ジロラモ 6.0%
ゼンデイヤ 5.9%
$16,345 Vol.
$16,345 Vol.

アン・ハサウェイ
38%

ペネロペ・クルス
16%

マリアナ・ディ・ジロラモ
7%

ゼンデイヤ
6%

ベティ・ギルピン
6%

サンドラ・ヒュラー
5%

マーガレット・クアリー
5%

岡本多緒
4%

パーカー・ポージー
3%

イザベラ・ロッセリーニ
3%

ダニエル・デッドワイラー
3%

インディ・ナバレッテ
2%

ジェンマ・チャン
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Anne Hathaway’s early frontrunner status for *The Odyssey* anchors trader sentiment at 37.5% implied probability, fueled by Christopher Nolan’s prestige project and Academy familiarity with blockbuster supporting turns. Penélope Cruz’s dual-film push in *The Invite* and *La Bola Negra* follows at 15%, reflecting established name recognition and A24 momentum. A wide-open field features emerging names like Mariana di Girolamo and Betty Gilpin alongside veterans such as Sandra Hüller, with category placement decisions and fall festival screenings as key swing factors. No one has won both lead and supporting acting Oscars in one year, adding uncertainty to multi-nominee scenarios. Guild nominations and critics’ awards in early 2027 will clarify momentum before January nominations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問