Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has driven her to 69.5% implied probability as the clear early frontrunner for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar. Strong reviews from Telluride and continued buzz at TIFF have reinforced industry narrative around her veteran appeal and the film’s awards positioning, lifting her market odds sharply in recent weeks. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession* trail at 13%, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and Virginie Efira sit in single digits amid limited confirmed buzz. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and the race still fluid ahead of fall festivals and year-end releases, traders view the field as wide open beyond Moore, though late surges from untested projects could shift momentum before nominations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：主演女優賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：主演女優賞受賞
Julianne Moore 70%
インディ・ナバレッテ 13%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 4.4%
$139,108 Vol.
$139,108 Vol.
2027/03/14
Julianne Moore
70%
インディ・ナバレッテ
13%
Renate Reinsve
9%
Sandra Hüller
4%
Virginie Efira
2%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Julianne Moore 70%
インディ・ナバレッテ 13%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 4.4%
$139,108 Vol.
$139,108 Vol.
2027/03/14
Julianne Moore
$91,720 Vol.
70%
インディ・ナバレッテ
$28,487 Vol.
13%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Vol.
9%
Sandra Hüller
$3,715 Vol.
4%
Virginie Efira
$188 Vol.
2%
Ruth Madeley
$721 Vol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$179 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$217 Vol.
1%
Michelle Williams
$265 Vol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$160 Vol.
<1%
Léa Seydoux
$857 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has driven her to 69.5% implied probability as the clear early frontrunner for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar. Strong reviews from Telluride and continued buzz at TIFF have reinforced industry narrative around her veteran appeal and the film’s awards positioning, lifting her market odds sharply in recent weeks. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession* trail at 13%, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and Virginie Efira sit in single digits amid limited confirmed buzz. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and the race still fluid ahead of fall festivals and year-end releases, traders view the field as wide open beyond Moore, though late surges from untested projects could shift momentum before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
音量
$139,108終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has driven her to 69.5% implied probability as the clear early frontrunner for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar. Strong reviews from Telluride and continued buzz at TIFF have reinforced industry narrative around her veteran appeal and the film’s awards positioning, lifting her market odds sharply in recent weeks. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession* trail at 13%, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and Virginie Efira sit in single digits amid limited confirmed buzz. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and the race still fluid ahead of fall festivals and year-end releases, traders view the field as wide open beyond Moore, though late surges from untested projects could shift momentum before nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$139,108終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s musical dramedy *The Debut* has driven her to 69.5% implied probability as the clear early frontrunner for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar. Strong reviews from Telluride and continued buzz at TIFF have reinforced industry narrative around her veteran appeal and the film’s awards positioning, lifting her market odds sharply in recent weeks. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette in *Obsession* trail at 13%, while Sandra Hüller, Renate Reinsve, and Virginie Efira sit in single digits amid limited confirmed buzz. With no guild or critics’ awards yet decided and the race still fluid ahead of fall festivals and year-end releases, traders view the field as wide open beyond Moore, though late surges from untested projects could shift momentum before nominations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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