Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early reviews, Universal’s awards push, and Academy goodwill following his Oppenheimer win. The film’s scale, craft pedigree, and Matt Damon-led ensemble position it as the early frontrunner for 2027 Best Director. Late-year releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” (13.5%) and projects from Martin McDonagh or Jesse Eisenberg remain in play but trail significantly, with their final positioning dependent on critical reception and guild momentum. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s historical voting patterns while noting that December releases and precursor awards could still shift the field before nominations lock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：最優秀監督賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：最優秀監督賞受賞
クリストファー・ノーラン 69%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 14%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ 8%
マーティン・マクドナー 4.4%
新規
新規
2027/03/14
クリストファー・ノーラン
69%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
14%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
8%
マーティン・マクドナー
4%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
4%
アーロン・ソーキン
4%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
2%
ランス・オッペンハイム
1%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
6%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
1%
ピーター・ファレリー
1%
バッサム・タリク
<1%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
<1%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
<1%
クリストファー・ノーラン 69%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ 14%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ 8%
マーティン・マクドナー 4.4%
新規
新規
2027/03/14
クリストファー・ノーラン
$1,652 Vol.
69%
ドゥニ・ヴィルヌーヴ
$190 Vol.
14%
アレハンドロ・G・イニャリトゥ
$209 Vol.
8%
マーティン・マクドナー
$169 Vol.
4%
フィル・ロードまたはクリストファー・ミラー
$150 Vol.
4%
アーロン・ソーキン
$122 Vol.
4%
スティーヴン・スピルバーグ
$190 Vol.
2%
ランス・オッペンハイム
$630 Vol.
1%
ジェシー・アイゼンバーグ
$180 Vol.
6%
デヴィッド・O・ラッセル
$130 Vol.
1%
ピーター・ファレリー
$119 Vol.
1%
バッサム・タリク
$129 Vol.
<1%
オリヴィア・ワイルド
$110 Vol.
<1%
ジョーダン・ファーストマン
$138 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early reviews, Universal’s awards push, and Academy goodwill following his Oppenheimer win. The film’s scale, craft pedigree, and Matt Damon-led ensemble position it as the early frontrunner for 2027 Best Director. Late-year releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” (13.5%) and projects from Martin McDonagh or Jesse Eisenberg remain in play but trail significantly, with their final positioning dependent on critical reception and guild momentum. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s historical voting patterns while noting that December releases and precursor awards could still shift the field before nominations lock.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
音量
$4,119終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early reviews, Universal’s awards push, and Academy goodwill following his Oppenheimer win. The film’s scale, craft pedigree, and Matt Damon-led ensemble position it as the early frontrunner for 2027 Best Director. Late-year releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” (13.5%) and projects from Martin McDonagh or Jesse Eisenberg remain in play but trail significantly, with their final positioning dependent on critical reception and guild momentum. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s historical voting patterns while noting that December releases and precursor awards could still shift the field before nominations lock.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,119終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early reviews, Universal’s awards push, and Academy goodwill following his Oppenheimer win. The film’s scale, craft pedigree, and Matt Damon-led ensemble position it as the early frontrunner for 2027 Best Director. Late-year releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” (13.5%) and projects from Martin McDonagh or Jesse Eisenberg remain in play but trail significantly, with their final positioning dependent on critical reception and guild momentum. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s historical voting patterns while noting that December releases and precursor awards could still shift the field before nominations lock.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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