With 287 nominees creating an unusually crowded field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty ahead of the October announcement. Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds the slim lead on the strength of Ukraine’s ongoing resistance to Russian aggression, yet recent public nominations for Donald Trump—backed by leaders in Israel, Cambodia, and Pakistan—have kept his odds competitive through diplomatic breakthrough narratives. UNRWA benefits from sustained humanitarian visibility, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and Pope Leo XIV draw support from human rights and interfaith storylines. The tight spread underscores how precursor momentum, geopolitical developments, and committee secrecy continue to shape aggregated trader consensus in this high-variance market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ 11%
UNRWA 8.2%
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー 7.2%
教皇レオ14世 5.3%
$22,920,027 Vol.
$22,920,027 Vol.
2026/10/10
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ
11%
UNRWA
8%
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー
7%
教皇レオ14世
5%
ドナルド・トランプ
4%
タミム・ビン・ハマド・アル＝サーニー
4%
国際司法裁判所
2%
ナレンドラ・モディ
2%
アントニオ・グテーレス
2%
ジュリアン・アサンジ
2%
グレタ・トゥーンベリ
1%
アフメド・アル＝シャラー
1%
レジェップ・タイイップ・エルドアン
1%
カーレド・マシャール
1%
ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
1%
習近平
1%
チャーリー・カーク
1%
イーロン・マスク
1%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
<1%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
<1%
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ 11%
UNRWA 8.2%
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー 7.2%
教皇レオ14世 5.3%
$22,920,027 Vol.
$22,920,027 Vol.
2026/10/10
ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ
$277,178 Vol.
11%
UNRWA
$2,026,357 Vol.
8%
ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー
$761,380 Vol.
7%
教皇レオ14世
$789,821 Vol.
5%
ドナルド・トランプ
$4,152,588 Vol.
4%
タミム・ビン・ハマド・アル＝サーニー
$770,317 Vol.
4%
国際司法裁判所
$891,619 Vol.
2%
ナレンドラ・モディ
$663,697 Vol.
2%
アントニオ・グテーレス
$613,308 Vol.
2%
ジュリアン・アサンジ
$842,764 Vol.
2%
グレタ・トゥーンベリ
$1,449,751 Vol.
1%
アフメド・アル＝シャラー
$1,255,292 Vol.
1%
レジェップ・タイイップ・エルドアン
$1,046,773 Vol.
1%
カーレド・マシャール
$858,284 Vol.
1%
ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン
$1,160,916 Vol.
1%
習近平
$1,430,856 Vol.
1%
チャーリー・カーク
$1,231,963 Vol.
1%
イーロン・マスク
$1,139,890 Vol.
1%
ウラジーミル・プーチン
$883,485 Vol.
<1%
ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ
$673,796 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With 287 nominees creating an unusually crowded field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty ahead of the October announcement. Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds the slim lead on the strength of Ukraine’s ongoing resistance to Russian aggression, yet recent public nominations for Donald Trump—backed by leaders in Israel, Cambodia, and Pakistan—have kept his odds competitive through diplomatic breakthrough narratives. UNRWA benefits from sustained humanitarian visibility, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and Pope Leo XIV draw support from human rights and interfaith storylines. The tight spread underscores how precursor momentum, geopolitical developments, and committee secrecy continue to shape aggregated trader consensus in this high-variance market.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
マーケット開始日： Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
音量
$22,920,027終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.With 287 nominees creating an unusually crowded field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty ahead of the October announcement. Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds the slim lead on the strength of Ukraine’s ongoing resistance to Russian aggression, yet recent public nominations for Donald Trump—backed by leaders in Israel, Cambodia, and Pakistan—have kept his odds competitive through diplomatic breakthrough narratives. UNRWA benefits from sustained humanitarian visibility, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and Pope Leo XIV draw support from human rights and interfaith storylines. The tight spread underscores how precursor momentum, geopolitical developments, and committee secrecy continue to shape aggregated trader consensus in this high-variance market.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
音量
$22,920,027終了日
2026/10/10マーケット開始日
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With 287 nominees creating an unusually crowded field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty ahead of the October announcement. Volodymyr Zelenskyy holds the slim lead on the strength of Ukraine’s ongoing resistance to Russian aggression, yet recent public nominations for Donald Trump—backed by leaders in Israel, Cambodia, and Pakistan—have kept his odds competitive through diplomatic breakthrough narratives. UNRWA benefits from sustained humanitarian visibility, while figures like Yulia Navalnaya and Pope Leo XIV draw support from human rights and interfaith storylines. The tight spread underscores how precursor momentum, geopolitical developments, and committee secrecy continue to shape aggregated trader consensus in this high-variance market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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