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icon for 2026年ノーベル平和賞受賞者
政治·受賞歴

2026年ノーベル平和賞受賞者

icon for 2026年ノーベル平和賞受賞者
政治·受賞歴

2026年ノーベル平和賞受賞者

スーダンの緊急対応室 13.1%

セーブ・ザ・チルドレン 10.1%

ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ 8%

UNRWA 5.5%

Polymarket

$24,369,832 Vol.

スーダンの緊急対応室 13.1%

セーブ・ザ・チルドレン 10.1%

ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ 8%

UNRWA 5.5%

Polymarket

$24,369,832 Vol.

icon for スーダンの緊急対応室

スーダンの緊急対応室

$24,201 Vol.

13%

icon for セーブ・ザ・チルドレン

セーブ・ザ・チルドレン

$9,870 Vol.

10%

icon for ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ

ユーリヤ・ナワリナヤ

$299,631 Vol.

8%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,055,238 Vol.

6%

icon for 国際司法裁判所

国際司法裁判所

$916,549 Vol.

6%

icon for ジャーナリスト保護委員会

ジャーナリスト保護委員会

$6,508 Vol.

5%

icon for ドナルド・トランプ

ドナルド・トランプ

$4,949,374 Vol.

3%

icon for タミム・ビン・ハマド・アル＝サーニー

タミム・ビン・ハマド・アル＝サーニー

$790,791 Vol.

2%

icon for 周庭（チョウ・ハントン）

周庭（チョウ・ハントン）

$14,244 Vol.

2%

icon for ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー

ウォロディミル・ゼレンスキー

$825,328 Vol.

2%

icon for ナレンドラ・モディ

ナレンドラ・モディ

$689,090 Vol.

1%

icon for グレタ・トゥーンベリ

グレタ・トゥーンベリ

$1,474,229 Vol.

1%

icon for アフメド・アル＝シャラー

アフメド・アル＝シャラー

$1,274,691 Vol.

1%

icon for アントニオ・グテーレス

アントニオ・グテーレス

$642,234 Vol.

1%

icon for ワールド・セントラル・キッチン

ワールド・セントラル・キッチン

$3,314 Vol.

1%

icon for 国境なき記者団

国境なき記者団

$3,299 Vol.

1%

icon for 教皇レオ14世

教皇レオ14世

$823,358 Vol.

1%

icon for サラ・アル＝サッカ

サラ・アル＝サッカ

$3,762 Vol.

1%

icon for ICRC

ICRC

$3,490 Vol.

1%

icon for 習近平

習近平

$1,436,387 Vol.

1%

icon for ジュリアン・アサンジ

ジュリアン・アサンジ

$857,345 Vol.

<1%

icon for スヴャトラーナ・ツィハノフスカヤ

スヴャトラーナ・ツィハノフスカヤ

$2,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ

ベンヤミン・ネタニヤフ

$712,431 Vol.

<1%

icon for イーロン・マスク

イーロン・マスク

$1,197,717 Vol.

<1%

icon for ウラジーミル・プーチン

ウラジーミル・プーチン

$922,576 Vol.

<1%

icon for カーレド・マシャール

カーレド・マシャール

$880,871 Vol.

<1%

icon for レジェップ・タイイップ・エルドアン

レジェップ・タイイップ・エルドアン

$1,067,970 Vol.

<1%

icon for チャーリー・カーク

チャーリー・カーク

$1,280,817 Vol.

<1%

icon for ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン

ムハンマド・ビン・サルマン

$1,193,298 Vol.

<1%

icon for UNHCR

UNHCR

$4,005 Vol.

<1%

icon for フッサム・アブ・サフィーヤ

フッサム・アブ・サフィーヤ

$4,375 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms lead trader sentiment at 13.1% implied probability due to their grassroots humanitarian networks delivering aid amid the country’s civil war, earning recent Rafto Prize recognition and PRIO nominations that highlight community-driven peacebuilding. Save the Children follows closely at 10%, reflecting sustained multilateral relief efforts, while Yulia Navalnaya at 7.5% draws support from human rights activism against authoritarianism. The tightly bunched field stems from the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s preference for varied themes—humanitarian, institutional, or activist—plus confidential nominations that prevent clear momentum. Differentiators include verifiable on-ground impact versus established global roles, with the October 9 announcement looming as the key catalyst in this speculative market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
音量
$24,369,832
終了日
2026/10/10
マーケット開始日
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms lead trader sentiment at 13.1% implied probability due to their grassroots humanitarian networks delivering aid amid the country’s civil war, earning recent Rafto Prize recognition and PRIO nominations that highlight community-driven peacebuilding. Save the Children follows closely at 10%, reflecting sustained multilateral relief efforts, while Yulia Navalnaya at 7.5% draws support from human rights activism against authoritarianism. The tightly bunched field stems from the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s preference for varied themes—humanitarian, institutional, or activist—plus confidential nominations that prevent clear momentum. Differentiators include verifiable on-ground impact versus established global roles, with the October 9 announcement looming as the key catalyst in this speculative market.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
音量
$24,369,832
終了日
2026/10/10
マーケット開始日
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

関連

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2027年以前にトランプ、プーチン、ゼレンスキーが一緒にいるのが見られるか？

6%
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icon for トランプ、プーチン、ゼレンスキーは2027年前に会談するか？

トランプ、プーチン、ゼレンスキーは2027年前に会談するか？

7%
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icon for ジョシュ・アレンは2026年のNFL MVPを獲得するでしょうか？

ジョシュ・アレンは2026年のNFL MVPを獲得するでしょうか？

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年ノーベル平和賞受賞者」はPolymarket上の31個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スーダンの緊急対応室」で13%、次いで「セーブ・ザ・チルドレン」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、13¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に13%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年ノーベル平和賞受賞者」は$24.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Oct 16, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年ノーベル平和賞受賞者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている31個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年ノーベル平和賞受賞者」の現在のフロントランナーは「スーダンの緊急対応室」で13%であり、市場がこの結果に13%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「セーブ・ザ・チルドレン」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年ノーベル平和賞受賞者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。