**Cortis holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, just ahead of Sienna Spiro at 52.5%, with the rest of the field clustered near even odds.** The K-pop rookie’s edge stems from explosive global streaming, a sold-out debut tour, multiple chart runs including Spotify’s Weekly Top Albums, and a massive fandom that boosts fan-voted categories—Cortis is also nominated for Best Group and Best K-Pop. Spiro counters with stronger mainstream traction: her debut album *Visitor* reached No. 9 on the Billboard 200, her single “Die on This Hill” hit the Hot 100 top 20, and she earned early Grammy buzz plus a high-profile VMA performance slot. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, late momentum from live performances and social engagement could still shift the tight race among the seven nominees.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMAベストニューアーティスト2026
VMAベストニューアーティスト2026
シエナ・スピロ 53%
マイルズ・スミス 19.8%
マグナス・フェレル 16%
ベラ・ケイ 13.5%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
シエナ・スピロ
53%
マイルズ・スミス
20%
マグナス・フェレル
16%
ベラ・ケイ
13%
マルコム・トッド
8%
ステラ・レフティ
5%
コーティス
58%
シエナ・スピロ 53%
マイルズ・スミス 19.8%
マグナス・フェレル 16%
ベラ・ケイ 13.5%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
シエナ・スピロ
$20 Vol.
53%
マイルズ・スミス
$0 Vol.
20%
マグナス・フェレル
$0 Vol.
16%
ベラ・ケイ
$1 Vol.
13%
マルコム・トッド
$1 Vol.
8%
ステラ・レフティ
$0 Vol.
5%
コーティス
$20 Vol.
58%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Cortis holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, just ahead of Sienna Spiro at 52.5%, with the rest of the field clustered near even odds.** The K-pop rookie’s edge stems from explosive global streaming, a sold-out debut tour, multiple chart runs including Spotify’s Weekly Top Albums, and a massive fandom that boosts fan-voted categories—Cortis is also nominated for Best Group and Best K-Pop. Spiro counters with stronger mainstream traction: her debut album *Visitor* reached No. 9 on the Billboard 200, her single “Die on This Hill” hit the Hot 100 top 20, and she earned early Grammy buzz plus a high-profile VMA performance slot. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, late momentum from live performances and social engagement could still shift the tight race among the seven nominees.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
音量
$42終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Cortis holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, just ahead of Sienna Spiro at 52.5%, with the rest of the field clustered near even odds.** The K-pop rookie’s edge stems from explosive global streaming, a sold-out debut tour, multiple chart runs including Spotify’s Weekly Top Albums, and a massive fandom that boosts fan-voted categories—Cortis is also nominated for Best Group and Best K-Pop. Spiro counters with stronger mainstream traction: her debut album *Visitor* reached No. 9 on the Billboard 200, her single “Die on This Hill” hit the Hot 100 top 20, and she earned early Grammy buzz plus a high-profile VMA performance slot. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, late momentum from live performances and social engagement could still shift the tight race among the seven nominees.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$42終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Cortis holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, just ahead of Sienna Spiro at 52.5%, with the rest of the field clustered near even odds.** The K-pop rookie’s edge stems from explosive global streaming, a sold-out debut tour, multiple chart runs including Spotify’s Weekly Top Albums, and a massive fandom that boosts fan-voted categories—Cortis is also nominated for Best Group and Best K-Pop. Spiro counters with stronger mainstream traction: her debut album *Visitor* reached No. 9 on the Billboard 200, her single “Die on This Hill” hit the Hot 100 top 20, and she earned early Grammy buzz plus a high-profile VMA performance slot. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, late momentum from live performances and social engagement could still shift the tight race among the seven nominees.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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