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icon for オスカー2027 :最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者

オスカー2027 :最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者

icon for オスカー2027 :最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者

オスカー2027 :最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者

デューン:パート3 33%

プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー 24%

ゴジラ-1.0 10%

オデッセイ 7%

Polymarket
新規

デューン:パート3 33%

プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー 24%

ゴジラ-1.0 10%

オデッセイ 7%

Polymarket
新規

デューン:パート3

$208 Vol.

33%

プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー

$153 Vol.

35%

ゴジラ-1.0

$64 Vol.

10%

オデッセイ

$40 Vol.

7%

スパイダーマン:ブランニュー・デイ

$81 Vol.

6%

アベンジャーズ:ドゥームズデイ

$164 Vol.

4%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early positioning for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects race reflects anticipation for 2026 tentpole releases heavy on digital effects, with Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three emerging as frontrunners at 36.5% and 34.5% implied probability amid broad field uncertainty. Traders are pricing in the sci-fi scope of Hail Mary’s space visuals and Dune’s established VFX pedigree, alongside Godzilla Minus Zero’s creature work. Other contenders like The Odyssey, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Avengers: Doomsday sit lower as production timelines and post-production impact remain unclear. With no guild precursors or reviews yet available, market sentiment hinges on studio track records, director reputations, and historical patterns favoring ambitious franchise entries in this category.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$710
終了日
2027/03/14
マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early positioning for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects race reflects anticipation for 2026 tentpole releases heavy on digital effects, with Project Hail Mary and Dune: Part Three emerging as frontrunners at 36.5% and 34.5% implied probability amid broad field uncertainty. Traders are pricing in the sci-fi scope of Hail Mary’s space visuals and Dune’s established VFX pedigree, alongside Godzilla Minus Zero’s creature work. Other contenders like The Odyssey, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Avengers: Doomsday sit lower as production timelines and post-production impact remain unclear. With no guild precursors or reviews yet available, market sentiment hinges on studio track records, director reputations, and historical patterns favoring ambitious franchise entries in this category.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$710
終了日
2027/03/14
マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「オスカー2027 :最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー」で35%、次いで「デューン:パート3」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、35¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に35%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「オスカー2027 :最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 6, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「オスカー2027 :最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「オスカー2027 :最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者」の現在のフロントランナーは「プロジェクト・ヘイル・メアリー」で35%であり、市場がこの結果に35%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「デューン:パート3」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「オスカー2027 :最優秀ビジュアル効果賞受賞者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。