Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Jannik Sinner 59%
Novak Djokovic 11.3%
Alexander Zverev 7.6%
Taylor Fritz 3.9%
$10,826,410 Vol.
$10,826,410 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
59%
Novak Djokovic
11%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Ben Shelton
4%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
2%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Jannik Sinner 59%
Novak Djokovic 11.3%
Alexander Zverev 7.6%
Taylor Fritz 3.9%
$10,826,410 Vol.
$10,826,410 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
59%
Novak Djokovic
11%
Alexander Zverev
8%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Ben Shelton
4%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
2%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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