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icon for D4vd released from custody in 2026?

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

icon for D4vd released from custody in 2026?

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

9% 確率
Polymarket
新規
9% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**D4vd (David Burke) faces first-degree murder charges with special circumstances, plus counts of lewd acts with a person under 14 and mutilating a body, after the April 2026 discovery of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez’s remains in his abandoned Tesla.** He was arrested April 16, pleaded not guilty at his initial appearance, and remains held without bail at Twin Towers Correctional Facility. Prosecutors have cited extensive evidence—including terabytes of material and a secret grand jury probe—while the preliminary hearing was postponed to June 29 amid new filings. These capital-level charges, combined with the victim’s age and the ongoing evidentiary phase, create strong barriers to any 2026 release. Traders see the market-implied 88% probability on “No” as reflecting standard pretrial timelines for such cases, where bail denials and deliberate pacing of proceedings typically keep defendants in custody through at least the preliminary and into trial preparation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$7,640
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**D4vd (David Burke) faces first-degree murder charges with special circumstances, plus counts of lewd acts with a person under 14 and mutilating a body, after the April 2026 discovery of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez’s remains in his abandoned Tesla.** He was arrested April 16, pleaded not guilty at his initial appearance, and remains held without bail at Twin Towers Correctional Facility. Prosecutors have cited extensive evidence—including terabytes of material and a secret grand jury probe—while the preliminary hearing was postponed to June 29 amid new filings. These capital-level charges, combined with the victim’s age and the ongoing evidentiary phase, create strong barriers to any 2026 release. Traders see the market-implied 88% probability on “No” as reflecting standard pretrial timelines for such cases, where bail denials and deliberate pacing of proceedings typically keep defendants in custody through at least the preliminary and into trial preparation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$7,640
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「D4vd released from custody in 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して12%です。例えば、「はい」が12¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を12%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「D4vd released from custody in 2026?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 23, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「D4vd released from custody in 2026?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「D4vd released from custody in 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して12%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を12%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「D4vd released from custody in 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。