Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Muse 3.8%
Vinted <1%
ChatGPT <1%
TikTok Pro - Events <1%
$16,361 Vol.
$16,361 Vol.
2026/09/18
ChatGPT
いいえ
Vinted
いいえ
TikTok Pro - Events
いいえ
Google Gemini
いいえ
Muse
いいえ
Googleマップ
いいえ
Polymarket
いいえ
Muse 3.8%
Vinted <1%
ChatGPT <1%
TikTok Pro - Events <1%
$16,361 Vol.
$16,361 Vol.
2026/09/18
ChatGPT
$1,969 Vol.
いいえ
Vinted
$6,851 Vol.
いいえ
TikTok Pro - Events
$1,906 Vol.
いいえ
Google Gemini
$2,638 Vol.
いいえ
Muse
$1,904 Vol.
いいえ
Googleマップ
$461 Vol.
いいえ
Polymarket
$631 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
音量
$16,361終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$16,361終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Traders show overwhelming confidence in "Other" at near-certain implied probability because neither ChatGPT nor Vinted has demonstrated the download momentum or marketing push needed to reach third place among free US App Store apps on September 18. Historical ranking patterns favor established categories like social, utility, or gaming apps that maintain steadier user engagement, while OpenAI's chatbot and the Vinted resale platform have shown more variable performance tied to feature updates or seasonal trends. Daily fluctuations could still shift outcomes if a major iOS release, viral campaign, or competitor outage boosts one of the named apps overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問