**Ongoing state antitrust litigation remains the dominant barrier to closing Paramount Skydance’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by year-end 2026.** Following DOJ and European Commission approvals plus UK clearance, a coalition of 12 states sued in July 2026 to block the $111 billion deal over concerns about reduced competition in film distribution and cable networks. The parties agreed on July 24 to pause the transaction and extend the outside closing date to June 1, 2027, with a federal judge scheduling trial for March 2027. This timeline, combined with the required court resolution, makes a 2026 close improbable despite shareholder approval and other regulatory progress, driving the 87.8% market-implied probability on “No.”
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$143,574 Vol.
$143,574 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$143,574 Vol.
$143,574 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**Ongoing state antitrust litigation remains the dominant barrier to closing Paramount Skydance’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by year-end 2026.** Following DOJ and European Commission approvals plus UK clearance, a coalition of 12 states sued in July 2026 to block the $111 billion deal over concerns about reduced competition in film distribution and cable networks. The parties agreed on July 24 to pause the transaction and extend the outside closing date to June 1, 2027, with a federal judge scheduling trial for March 2027. This timeline, combined with the required court resolution, makes a 2026 close improbable despite shareholder approval and other regulatory progress, driving the 87.8% market-implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
マーケット開始日： Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
音量
$143,574終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**Ongoing state antitrust litigation remains the dominant barrier to closing Paramount Skydance’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by year-end 2026.** Following DOJ and European Commission approvals plus UK clearance, a coalition of 12 states sued in July 2026 to block the $111 billion deal over concerns about reduced competition in film distribution and cable networks. The parties agreed on July 24 to pause the transaction and extend the outside closing date to June 1, 2027, with a federal judge scheduling trial for March 2027. This timeline, combined with the required court resolution, makes a 2026 close improbable despite shareholder approval and other regulatory progress, driving the 87.8% market-implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
音量
$143,574終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing state antitrust litigation remains the dominant barrier to closing Paramount Skydance’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by year-end 2026.** Following DOJ and European Commission approvals plus UK clearance, a coalition of 12 states sued in July 2026 to block the $111 billion deal over concerns about reduced competition in film distribution and cable networks. The parties agreed on July 24 to pause the transaction and extend the outside closing date to June 1, 2027, with a federal judge scheduling trial for March 2027. This timeline, combined with the required court resolution, makes a 2026 close improbable despite shareholder approval and other regulatory progress, driving the 87.8% market-implied probability on “No.”
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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