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icon for パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するか?

パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するか?

icon for パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するか?

パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するか?

はい

18% 確率
Polymarket

$151,764 Vol.

はい

18% 確率
Polymarket

$151,764 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**No at 76.3% reflects the deal's substantial antitrust and litigation hurdles that make closure by December 31, 2026, improbable.** Paramount Skydance signed a definitive $110–111 billion all-cash agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery in February 2026 after outbidding Netflix, with WBD shareholders approving the transaction in April and the U.S. DOJ clearing it in June. International regulators including the EU, Turkey, and Mexico have granted approvals, often with structural or behavioral remedies. However, a coalition of 12 state attorneys general filed antitrust suits in July alleging reduced competition in film, cable, and streaming, prompting federal court temporary restraining orders and a trial now scheduled for March 2027. In July 2026, Paramount explicitly stated the merger would not close before June 1, 2027, to accommodate ongoing litigation and reviews. As of late August, the parties continue exploring divestitures (such as certain Turner networks or cable assets) and operational separations to address state concerns, but these negotiations remain unresolved. With the trial date and any appeals extending well beyond year-end, traders assign high probability to missing the 2026 deadline despite the deal's advanced regulatory progress elsewhere.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
音量
$151,764
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**No at 76.3% reflects the deal's substantial antitrust and litigation hurdles that make closure by December 31, 2026, improbable.** Paramount Skydance signed a definitive $110–111 billion all-cash agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery in February 2026 after outbidding Netflix, with WBD shareholders approving the transaction in April and the U.S. DOJ clearing it in June. International regulators including the EU, Turkey, and Mexico have granted approvals, often with structural or behavioral remedies. However, a coalition of 12 state attorneys general filed antitrust suits in July alleging reduced competition in film, cable, and streaming, prompting federal court temporary restraining orders and a trial now scheduled for March 2027. In July 2026, Paramount explicitly stated the merger would not close before June 1, 2027, to accommodate ongoing litigation and reviews. As of late August, the parties continue exploring divestitures (such as certain Turner networks or cable assets) and operational separations to address state concerns, but these negotiations remain unresolved. With the trial date and any appeals extending well beyond year-end, traders assign high probability to missing the 2026 deadline despite the deal's advanced regulatory progress elsewhere.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
音量
$151,764
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

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よくある質問

「パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了しますか?」で24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、24¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に24%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するか?」は$151.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 8, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了しますか?」で24%であり、市場がこの結果に24%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「パラマウントは2026年末までにワーナー・ブラザースの買収を完了するか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。