D4vd, whose real name is David Burke, faces first-degree murder with special circumstances, continuous sexual abuse of a minor under 14, and mutilation of human remains in the death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez, whose dismembered body was discovered in his Tesla. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail since, he pleaded not guilty after a July preliminary hearing where prosecutors presented graphic evidence, including text messages and tool purchases, leading a judge to advance the case to trial. This severe, capital-eligible prosecution and lack of release prospects underpin the 93% market-implied probability against custody release in 2026. A successful bail motion or plea agreement could theoretically shift the outcome, though the strength of the evidence and public nature of the charges make those paths unlikely before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日D4vd released from custody in 2026?
D4vd released from custody in 2026?
新規
新規
2026/12/31
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.D4vd, whose real name is David Burke, faces first-degree murder with special circumstances, continuous sexual abuse of a minor under 14, and mutilation of human remains in the death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez, whose dismembered body was discovered in his Tesla. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail since, he pleaded not guilty after a July preliminary hearing where prosecutors presented graphic evidence, including text messages and tool purchases, leading a judge to advance the case to trial. This severe, capital-eligible prosecution and lack of release prospects underpin the 93% market-implied probability against custody release in 2026. A successful bail motion or plea agreement could theoretically shift the outcome, though the strength of the evidence and public nature of the charges make those paths unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
音量
$7,789終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.D4vd, whose real name is David Burke, faces first-degree murder with special circumstances, continuous sexual abuse of a minor under 14, and mutilation of human remains in the death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez, whose dismembered body was discovered in his Tesla. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail since, he pleaded not guilty after a July preliminary hearing where prosecutors presented graphic evidence, including text messages and tool purchases, leading a judge to advance the case to trial. This severe, capital-eligible prosecution and lack of release prospects underpin the 93% market-implied probability against custody release in 2026. A successful bail motion or plea agreement could theoretically shift the outcome, though the strength of the evidence and public nature of the charges make those paths unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$7,789終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...D4vd, whose real name is David Burke, faces first-degree murder with special circumstances, continuous sexual abuse of a minor under 14, and mutilation of human remains in the death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez, whose dismembered body was discovered in his Tesla. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail since, he pleaded not guilty after a July preliminary hearing where prosecutors presented graphic evidence, including text messages and tool purchases, leading a judge to advance the case to trial. This severe, capital-eligible prosecution and lack of release prospects underpin the 93% market-implied probability against custody release in 2026. A successful bail motion or plea agreement could theoretically shift the outcome, though the strength of the evidence and public nature of the charges make those paths unlikely before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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