Tesla shares' recent rebound from mid-April lows around $345 to over $390 has propelled the 670b+ outcome to a 29.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner, reflecting optimism tied to SpaceX's April 1 confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation ahead of its June debut. However, the wide-open field underscores uncertainty from Tesla's Q1 2026 deliveries miss earlier this month, which triggered a sharp sell-off, and looming earnings on April 22 that could reveal margin pressures amid EV competition. Differentiators include post-merger SpaceX-xAI private valuations (Bloomberg at ~$636 billion total net worth vs. Forbes' $831 billion) and short-term Tesla volatility, with no new tenders or announcements expected by April 30 to solidify higher brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6700億ドル以上 29%
6500億~6600億 14%
6300〜6400億 13%
6200億〜6300億 12%
$54,336 Vol.
$54,336 Vol.
6000億ドル未満
9%
6000億〜6100億
8%
6100億~6200億
10%
6200億〜6300億
12%
6300〜6400億
13%
6400億〜6500億ドル
10%
6500億~6600億
14%
6600億〜6700億
8%
6700億ドル以上
29%
6700億ドル以上 29%
6500億~6600億 14%
6300〜6400億 13%
6200億〜6300億 12%
$54,336 Vol.
$54,336 Vol.
6000億ドル未満
9%
6000億〜6100億
8%
6100億~6200億
10%
6200億〜6300億
12%
6300〜6400億
13%
6400億〜6500億ドル
10%
6500億~6600億
14%
6600億〜6700億
8%
6700億ドル以上
29%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares' recent rebound from mid-April lows around $345 to over $390 has propelled the 670b+ outcome to a 29.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner, reflecting optimism tied to SpaceX's April 1 confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation ahead of its June debut. However, the wide-open field underscores uncertainty from Tesla's Q1 2026 deliveries miss earlier this month, which triggered a sharp sell-off, and looming earnings on April 22 that could reveal margin pressures amid EV competition. Differentiators include post-merger SpaceX-xAI private valuations (Bloomberg at ~$636 billion total net worth vs. Forbes' $831 billion) and short-term Tesla volatility, with no new tenders or announcements expected by April 30 to solidify higher brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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