Recent Axios reporting on April 9 revealed OpenAI's plans for a staggered rollout of GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud," with pretraining completed around March 24—limiting initial access to select companies due to cybersecurity misuse risks, echoing Anthropic's restricted Mythos deployment. This tempers trader consensus, boosting "No release by April 30" to 33% amid safety concerns, while April 16 holds 39% on leaks hinting at a mid-April public launch window (14th-16th) and intensifying hype around Codex super app integration. Competitive pressures from Anthropic and xAI Grok 5 drive urgency, but resolution hinges on official announcements, potential Friday demos, and benchmark validations like ARC-AGI progress, keeping the race tightly contested.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No release by April 30 38%
April 16 24%
April 23 13%
April 30 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
April 10
1%
April 11
8%
April 12
10%
April 13
11%
April 14
11%
April 15
11%
April 16
24%
April 17
11%
April 18
11%
April 19
11%
April 20
11%
April 21
11%
April 22
11%
April 23
13%
April 24
11%
April 25
11%
April 26
11%
April 27
11%
April 28
10%
April 29
11%
April 30
13%
No release by April 30
38%
No release by April 30 38%
April 16 24%
April 23 13%
April 30 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
April 10
$26 Vol.
1%
April 11
$32 Vol.
8%
April 12
$0 Vol.
10%
April 13
$0 Vol.
11%
April 14
$5 Vol.
11%
April 15
$0 Vol.
11%
April 16
$0 Vol.
24%
April 17
$0 Vol.
11%
April 18
$0 Vol.
11%
April 19
$0 Vol.
11%
April 20
$0 Vol.
11%
April 21
$0 Vol.
11%
April 22
$0 Vol.
11%
April 23
$0 Vol.
13%
April 24
$0 Vol.
11%
April 25
$0 Vol.
11%
April 26
$0 Vol.
11%
April 27
$0 Vol.
11%
April 28
$0 Vol.
10%
April 29
$0 Vol.
11%
April 30
$0 Vol.
13%
No release by April 30
$109 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Axios reporting on April 9 revealed OpenAI's plans for a staggered rollout of GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud," with pretraining completed around March 24—limiting initial access to select companies due to cybersecurity misuse risks, echoing Anthropic's restricted Mythos deployment. This tempers trader consensus, boosting "No release by April 30" to 33% amid safety concerns, while April 16 holds 39% on leaks hinting at a mid-April public launch window (14th-16th) and intensifying hype around Codex super app integration. Competitive pressures from Anthropic and xAI Grok 5 drive urgency, but resolution hinges on official announcements, potential Friday demos, and benchmark validations like ARC-AGI progress, keeping the race tightly contested.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
音量
$2,304終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Axios reporting on April 9 revealed OpenAI's plans for a staggered rollout of GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud," with pretraining completed around March 24—limiting initial access to select companies due to cybersecurity misuse risks, echoing Anthropic's restricted Mythos deployment. This tempers trader consensus, boosting "No release by April 30" to 33% amid safety concerns, while April 16 holds 39% on leaks hinting at a mid-April public launch window (14th-16th) and intensifying hype around Codex super app integration. Competitive pressures from Anthropic and xAI Grok 5 drive urgency, but resolution hinges on official announcements, potential Friday demos, and benchmark validations like ARC-AGI progress, keeping the race tightly contested.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,304終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Axios reporting on April 9 revealed OpenAI's plans for a staggered rollout of GPT-5.5—codenamed "Spud," with pretraining completed around March 24—limiting initial access to select companies due to cybersecurity misuse risks, echoing Anthropic's restricted Mythos deployment. This tempers trader consensus, boosting "No release by April 30" to 33% amid safety concerns, while April 16 holds 39% on leaks hinting at a mid-April public launch window (14th-16th) and intensifying hype around Codex super app integration. Competitive pressures from Anthropic and xAI Grok 5 drive urgency, but resolution hinges on official announcements, potential Friday demos, and benchmark validations like ARC-AGI progress, keeping the race tightly contested.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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