Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mentions of "Trump" at 94% implied probability for the April 10 All-In Podcast episode, driven by the hosts' recent deep dives into Trump administration policies amid escalating Iran war fallout, economic impacts like fertilizer crises, and SpaceX IPO speculation in a pro-business regulatory environment. Episodes from April 3–6 dominated politics (Trump's messaging, Greenland acquisition), defense tech (Palantir/Anduril on AI drones), quantum Bitcoin hack risks, and space economics as the next industrial frontier, reflecting hosts Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, and David Friedberg's focus on AI capabilities, geopolitical tensions, and 2026 IPO surges. Absent specific teasers, odds extrapolate from this pattern, with AI repeated 15+ times also likely amid ongoing OpenAI/Anthropic rivalry; resolution hinges on verbatim transcript analysis post-release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
$10,260 Vol.
2026/04/10
AI 15+ times
75%
Silicon Valley 2+ times
33%
Structural change
16%
Mark Zuckerberg
18%
Construction
19%
Open Source
52%
Constitution
24%
Data Center
60%
Polymarket
76%
Best friend
11%
Regulatory
31%
Alignment
16%
Software
85%
Anthropic
74%
51%
Nvidia
59%
Poland
13%
Token
61%
Safety
31%
Winner
59%
China
78%
Paris
12%
Trump
95%
Cookie
12%
Deepfake
14%
$10,260 Vol.
AI 15+ times
$155 Vol.
75%
Silicon Valley 2+ times
$5,389 Vol.
33%
Structural change
$5 Vol.
16%
Mark Zuckerberg
$3 Vol.
18%
Construction
$0 Vol.
19%
Open Source
$934 Vol.
52%
Constitution
$0 Vol.
24%
Data Center
$21 Vol.
60%
Polymarket
$123 Vol.
76%
Best friend
$0 Vol.
11%
Regulatory
$156 Vol.
31%
Alignment
$25 Vol.
16%
Software
$30 Vol.
85%
Anthropic
$39 Vol.
74%
$61 Vol.
51%
Nvidia
$0 Vol.
59%
Poland
$42 Vol.
13%
Token
$0 Vol.
61%
Safety
$123 Vol.
31%
Winner
$30 Vol.
59%
China
$0 Vol.
78%
Paris
$18 Vol.
12%
Trump
$3,078 Vol.
95%
Cookie
$27 Vol.
12%
Deepfake
$0 Vol.
14%
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mentions of "Trump" at 94% implied probability for the April 10 All-In Podcast episode, driven by the hosts' recent deep dives into Trump administration policies amid escalating Iran war fallout, economic impacts like fertilizer crises, and SpaceX IPO speculation in a pro-business regulatory environment. Episodes from April 3–6 dominated politics (Trump's messaging, Greenland acquisition), defense tech (Palantir/Anduril on AI drones), quantum Bitcoin hack risks, and space economics as the next industrial frontier, reflecting hosts Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, and David Friedberg's focus on AI capabilities, geopolitical tensions, and 2026 IPO surges. Absent specific teasers, odds extrapolate from this pattern, with AI repeated 15+ times also likely amid ongoing OpenAI/Anthropic rivalry; resolution hinges on verbatim transcript analysis post-release.
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
音量
$10,260終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mentions of "Trump" at 94% implied probability for the April 10 All-In Podcast episode, driven by the hosts' recent deep dives into Trump administration policies amid escalating Iran war fallout, economic impacts like fertilizer crises, and SpaceX IPO speculation in a pro-business regulatory environment. Episodes from April 3–6 dominated politics (Trump's messaging, Greenland acquisition), defense tech (Palantir/Anduril on AI drones), quantum Bitcoin hack risks, and space economics as the next industrial frontier, reflecting hosts Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, and David Friedberg's focus on AI capabilities, geopolitical tensions, and 2026 IPO surges. Absent specific teasers, odds extrapolate from this pattern, with AI repeated 15+ times also likely amid ongoing OpenAI/Anthropic rivalry; resolution hinges on verbatim transcript analysis post-release.
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
音量
$10,260終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors mentions of "Trump" at 94% implied probability for the April 10 All-In Podcast episode, driven by the hosts' recent deep dives into Trump administration policies amid escalating Iran war fallout, economic impacts like fertilizer crises, and SpaceX IPO speculation in a pro-business regulatory environment. Episodes from April 3–6 dominated politics (Trump's messaging, Greenland acquisition), defense tech (Palantir/Anduril on AI drones), quantum Bitcoin hack risks, and space economics as the next industrial frontier, reflecting hosts Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, and David Friedberg's focus on AI capabilities, geopolitical tensions, and 2026 IPO surges. Absent specific teasers, odds extrapolate from this pattern, with AI repeated 15+ times also likely amid ongoing OpenAI/Anthropic rivalry; resolution hinges on verbatim transcript analysis post-release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問