Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty in Riku Dining Group's Nasdaq IPO, with 35% implied probability for no listing before June 2026 edging out market cap buckets clustered around $90M–$130M, driven by a quiet period following the March 16, 2026, F-1/A amendment that upsized the offering to 5 million shares at $4–$6 for $25 million in proceeds—implying a $115 million valuation on $18.7 million trailing revenue and $1 million net income. The restaurant operator's franchise-heavy Japanese-themed concepts in Canada and Hong Kong face stiff sector competition, thin margins, and sensitivity to consumer spending, compounded by prior filing withdrawals and no roadshow announcements nearly a month later. Pricing remains eyed for the week of April 20, where discounts or demand shortfalls could tip outcomes lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日No IPO before June 2026 36%
90M–110M 22%
110M–130M 22%
<90M 7%
新規
新規
2026/04/24
<90M
28%
90M–110M
18%
110M–130M
28%
130M–150M
27%
150M+
25%
No IPO before June 2026
36%
No IPO before June 2026 36%
90M–110M 22%
110M–130M 22%
<90M 7%
新規
新規
2026/04/24
<90M
$54 Vol.
28%
90M–110M
$20 Vol.
18%
110M–130M
$20 Vol.
28%
130M–150M
$22 Vol.
27%
150M+
$34 Vol.
25%
No IPO before June 2026
$40 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty in Riku Dining Group's Nasdaq IPO, with 35% implied probability for no listing before June 2026 edging out market cap buckets clustered around $90M–$130M, driven by a quiet period following the March 16, 2026, F-1/A amendment that upsized the offering to 5 million shares at $4–$6 for $25 million in proceeds—implying a $115 million valuation on $18.7 million trailing revenue and $1 million net income. The restaurant operator's franchise-heavy Japanese-themed concepts in Canada and Hong Kong face stiff sector competition, thin margins, and sensitivity to consumer spending, compounded by prior filing withdrawals and no roadshow announcements nearly a month later. Pricing remains eyed for the week of April 20, where discounts or demand shortfalls could tip outcomes lower.
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
音量
$189終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty in Riku Dining Group's Nasdaq IPO, with 35% implied probability for no listing before June 2026 edging out market cap buckets clustered around $90M–$130M, driven by a quiet period following the March 16, 2026, F-1/A amendment that upsized the offering to 5 million shares at $4–$6 for $25 million in proceeds—implying a $115 million valuation on $18.7 million trailing revenue and $1 million net income. The restaurant operator's franchise-heavy Japanese-themed concepts in Canada and Hong Kong face stiff sector competition, thin margins, and sensitivity to consumer spending, compounded by prior filing withdrawals and no roadshow announcements nearly a month later. Pricing remains eyed for the week of April 20, where discounts or demand shortfalls could tip outcomes lower.
This market will resolve based on Riku Dining Group’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 24 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$189終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty in Riku Dining Group's Nasdaq IPO, with 35% implied probability for no listing before June 2026 edging out market cap buckets clustered around $90M–$130M, driven by a quiet period following the March 16, 2026, F-1/A amendment that upsized the offering to 5 million shares at $4–$6 for $25 million in proceeds—implying a $115 million valuation on $18.7 million trailing revenue and $1 million net income. The restaurant operator's franchise-heavy Japanese-themed concepts in Canada and Hong Kong face stiff sector competition, thin margins, and sensitivity to consumer spending, compounded by prior filing withdrawals and no roadshow announcements nearly a month later. Pricing remains eyed for the week of April 20, where discounts or demand shortfalls could tip outcomes lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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