Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around $620-670 billion for Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, reflecting stabilization after February's SpaceX-xAI merger that briefly pushed estimates above $800 billion per Forbes before Bloomberg's conservative $632 billion as of March 31 amid a 5% private valuation discount. Tesla's stock, hovering near $400 after a 17% YTD decline, drives the uncertainty, with Q1 earnings expected April 21-28 serving as the pivotal swing factor—strong deliveries, FSD updates, or robotaxi progress could lift toward 660-670b, while margin pressures tip below 620b. SpaceX IPO rumors at $1.75 trillion add speculative upside, but traders price in high volatility from market sentiment and private asset opacity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日6300〜6400億 54%
6500億～6600億 54%
6400億〜6500億ドル 53%
6000億〜6100億 30%
6000億ドル未満
30%
6000億〜6100億
30%
6100億～6200億
30%
6200億〜6300億
30%
6300〜6400億
30%
6400億〜6500億ドル
30%
6500億～6600億
30%
6600億〜6700億
30%
6700億ドル以上
28%
6300〜6400億 54%
6500億～6600億 54%
6400億〜6500億ドル 53%
6000億〜6100億 30%
6000億ドル未満
30%
6000億〜6100億
30%
6100億～6200億
30%
6200億〜6300億
30%
6300〜6400億
30%
6400億〜6500億ドル
30%
6500億～6600億
30%
6600億〜6700億
30%
6700億ドル以上
28%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around $620-670 billion for Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, reflecting stabilization after February's SpaceX-xAI merger that briefly pushed estimates above $800 billion per Forbes before Bloomberg's conservative $632 billion as of March 31 amid a 5% private valuation discount. Tesla's stock, hovering near $400 after a 17% YTD decline, drives the uncertainty, with Q1 earnings expected April 21-28 serving as the pivotal swing factor—strong deliveries, FSD updates, or robotaxi progress could lift toward 660-670b, while margin pressures tip below 620b. SpaceX IPO rumors at $1.75 trillion add speculative upside, but traders price in high volatility from market sentiment and private asset opacity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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