SpaceX’s IPO pricing plans announced in early June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T valuation band. The company filed to list at a fixed $135 per share, targeting a record $75 billion raise that would establish a $1.75 trillion post-money valuation based on 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion. This aligns with recent private funding rounds and positions the debut as the largest in history, with limited scope for last-minute adjustments given the structured timeline ahead of the mid-June Nasdaq listing. While analyst models such as Morningstar’s discounted cash flow place fair value nearer $780 billion, the market-implied odds reflect the strength of the company’s stated terms and pre-IPO momentum. Realistically, shifts in broader equity sentiment, regulatory delays, or underwriter feedback could still influence final pricing within or near the targeted range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.75～2.00兆 95%
1.50～1.75兆 2.7%
1.25〜1.50兆 1.8%
2.00〜2.25兆 1.8%
$208,415 Vol.
$208,415 Vol.
1.25兆未満
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
2%
1.50～1.75兆
3%
1.75～2.00兆
95%
2.00〜2.25兆
2%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
1%
2.50兆ドル以上
<1%
1.75～2.00兆 95%
1.50～1.75兆 2.7%
1.25〜1.50兆 1.8%
2.00〜2.25兆 1.8%
$208,415 Vol.
$208,415 Vol.
1.25兆未満
$67,258 Vol.
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
$20,759 Vol.
2%
1.50～1.75兆
$17,827 Vol.
3%
1.75～2.00兆
$37,733 Vol.
95%
2.00〜2.25兆
$22,761 Vol.
2%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
$17,574 Vol.
1%
2.50兆ドル以上
$24,502 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing plans announced in early June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T valuation band. The company filed to list at a fixed $135 per share, targeting a record $75 billion raise that would establish a $1.75 trillion post-money valuation based on 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion. This aligns with recent private funding rounds and positions the debut as the largest in history, with limited scope for last-minute adjustments given the structured timeline ahead of the mid-June Nasdaq listing. While analyst models such as Morningstar’s discounted cash flow place fair value nearer $780 billion, the market-implied odds reflect the strength of the company’s stated terms and pre-IPO momentum. Realistically, shifts in broader equity sentiment, regulatory delays, or underwriter feedback could still influence final pricing within or near the targeted range.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$208,415マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing plans announced in early June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T valuation band. The company filed to list at a fixed $135 per share, targeting a record $75 billion raise that would establish a $1.75 trillion post-money valuation based on 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion. This aligns with recent private funding rounds and positions the debut as the largest in history, with limited scope for last-minute adjustments given the structured timeline ahead of the mid-June Nasdaq listing. While analyst models such as Morningstar’s discounted cash flow place fair value nearer $780 billion, the market-implied odds reflect the strength of the company’s stated terms and pre-IPO momentum. Realistically, shifts in broader equity sentiment, regulatory delays, or underwriter feedback could still influence final pricing within or near the targeted range.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$208,415マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s IPO pricing plans announced in early June 2026 represent the dominant catalyst anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T valuation band. The company filed to list at a fixed $135 per share, targeting a record $75 billion raise that would establish a $1.75 trillion post-money valuation based on 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion. This aligns with recent private funding rounds and positions the debut as the largest in history, with limited scope for last-minute adjustments given the structured timeline ahead of the mid-June Nasdaq listing. While analyst models such as Morningstar’s discounted cash flow place fair value nearer $780 billion, the market-implied odds reflect the strength of the company’s stated terms and pre-IPO momentum. Realistically, shifts in broader equity sentiment, regulatory delays, or underwriter feedback could still influence final pricing within or near the targeted range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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