SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation with a record $75 billion raise, underpins the 92.8% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Trader consensus reflects the company’s May 2026 S-1 filing, post-xAI merger positioning at $1.25 trillion in February, 2025 revenue near $18.7 billion supporting ~93x trailing multiples, Starlink subscriber growth, and launch dominance, all reinforced by institutional demand during the abbreviated June roadshow. While the debut surge past $2 trillion highlights post-listing momentum, realistic scenarios that could have altered the initial valuation include weaker-than-expected order flow forcing a lower price, shifts in Treasury yields affecting growth-stock multiples, or regulatory delays in the Nasdaq SPCX listing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.75～2.00兆 97.6%
1.50～1.75兆 3.2%
2.00〜2.25兆 3.0%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 <1%
$238,049 Vol.
$238,049 Vol.
1.25兆未満
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
<1%
1.50～1.75兆
3%
1.75～2.00兆
93%
2.00〜2.25兆
3%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
1%
2.50兆ドル以上
<1%
1.75～2.00兆 97.6%
1.50～1.75兆 3.2%
2.00〜2.25兆 3.0%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 <1%
$238,049 Vol.
$238,049 Vol.
1.25兆未満
$71,514 Vol.
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
$23,306 Vol.
<1%
1.50～1.75兆
$21,362 Vol.
3%
1.75～2.00兆
$49,225 Vol.
93%
2.00〜2.25兆
$26,656 Vol.
3%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
$19,179 Vol.
1%
2.50兆ドル以上
$26,808 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation with a record $75 billion raise, underpins the 92.8% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Trader consensus reflects the company’s May 2026 S-1 filing, post-xAI merger positioning at $1.25 trillion in February, 2025 revenue near $18.7 billion supporting ~93x trailing multiples, Starlink subscriber growth, and launch dominance, all reinforced by institutional demand during the abbreviated June roadshow. While the debut surge past $2 trillion highlights post-listing momentum, realistic scenarios that could have altered the initial valuation include weaker-than-expected order flow forcing a lower price, shifts in Treasury yields affecting growth-stock multiples, or regulatory delays in the Nasdaq SPCX listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$238,049マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation with a record $75 billion raise, underpins the 92.8% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Trader consensus reflects the company’s May 2026 S-1 filing, post-xAI merger positioning at $1.25 trillion in February, 2025 revenue near $18.7 billion supporting ~93x trailing multiples, Starlink subscriber growth, and launch dominance, all reinforced by institutional demand during the abbreviated June roadshow. While the debut surge past $2 trillion highlights post-listing momentum, realistic scenarios that could have altered the initial valuation include weaker-than-expected order flow forcing a lower price, shifts in Treasury yields affecting growth-stock multiples, or regulatory delays in the Nasdaq SPCX listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$238,049マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.77 trillion valuation with a record $75 billion raise, underpins the 92.8% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T band. Trader consensus reflects the company’s May 2026 S-1 filing, post-xAI merger positioning at $1.25 trillion in February, 2025 revenue near $18.7 billion supporting ~93x trailing multiples, Starlink subscriber growth, and launch dominance, all reinforced by institutional demand during the abbreviated June roadshow. While the debut surge past $2 trillion highlights post-listing momentum, realistic scenarios that could have altered the initial valuation include weaker-than-expected order flow forcing a lower price, shifts in Treasury yields affecting growth-stock multiples, or regulatory delays in the Nasdaq SPCX listing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問