SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 93.7% market-implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s confidential S-1 filing, strong Starlink revenue trajectory exceeding $18 billion in 2025, and sustained government and commercial launch contracts that support elevated multiples despite reported operating losses. Trader positioning also incorporates the abbreviated roadshow and fixed-price structure, which reduced uncertainty ahead of the June 12 listing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected post-pricing market volatility affecting final valuation bands.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.75～2.00兆 97.4%
1.50～1.75兆 4.7%
2.00〜2.25兆 1.3%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 <1%
$239,582 Vol.
$239,582 Vol.
1.25兆未満
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
<1%
1.50～1.75兆
5%
1.75～2.00兆
94%
2.00〜2.25兆
1%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
<1%
2.50兆ドル以上
<1%
1.75～2.00兆 97.4%
1.50～1.75兆 4.7%
2.00〜2.25兆 1.3%
2.25兆〜2.50兆 <1%
$239,582 Vol.
$239,582 Vol.
1.25兆未満
$71,614 Vol.
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
$23,306 Vol.
<1%
1.50～1.75兆
$22,648 Vol.
5%
1.75～2.00兆
$49,437 Vol.
94%
2.00〜2.25兆
$26,788 Vol.
1%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
$19,265 Vol.
<1%
2.50兆ドル以上
$26,808 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 93.7% market-implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s confidential S-1 filing, strong Starlink revenue trajectory exceeding $18 billion in 2025, and sustained government and commercial launch contracts that support elevated multiples despite reported operating losses. Trader positioning also incorporates the abbreviated roadshow and fixed-price structure, which reduced uncertainty ahead of the June 12 listing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected post-pricing market volatility affecting final valuation bands.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$239,582マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 93.7% market-implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s confidential S-1 filing, strong Starlink revenue trajectory exceeding $18 billion in 2025, and sustained government and commercial launch contracts that support elevated multiples despite reported operating losses. Trader positioning also incorporates the abbreviated roadshow and fixed-price structure, which reduced uncertainty ahead of the June 12 listing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected post-pricing market volatility affecting final valuation bands.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$239,582マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors the 93.7% market-implied probability for the 1.75-2.00T range. This consensus reflects the company’s confidential S-1 filing, strong Starlink revenue trajectory exceeding $18 billion in 2025, and sustained government and commercial launch contracts that support elevated multiples despite reported operating losses. Trader positioning also incorporates the abbreviated roadshow and fixed-price structure, which reduced uncertainty ahead of the June 12 listing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory adjustments to share allocation or unexpected post-pricing market volatility affecting final valuation bands.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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