SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and June 2026 roadshow guidance, setting an IPO price of $135 per share to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, underpin the 94% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range. This pricing aligns with the company’s 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion and reflects strong institutional demand ahead of a potential June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, following a December 2025 tender at roughly $800 billion. Trader consensus, backed by real capital commitments, prices in sustained Starlink and launch growth despite analyst models such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted cash flow estimate. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include slower-than-projected execution on Starship or regulatory delays that compress the valuation multiple.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.75～2.00兆 95%
1.50～1.75兆 2.5%
1.25〜1.50兆 1.9%
2.00〜2.25兆 1.8%
$208,415 Vol.
$208,415 Vol.
1.25兆未満
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
2%
1.50～1.75兆
3%
1.75～2.00兆
95%
2.00〜2.25兆
2%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
1%
2.50兆ドル以上
<1%
1.75～2.00兆 95%
1.50～1.75兆 2.5%
1.25〜1.50兆 1.9%
2.00〜2.25兆 1.8%
$208,415 Vol.
$208,415 Vol.
1.25兆未満
$67,258 Vol.
<1%
1.25〜1.50兆
$20,759 Vol.
2%
1.50～1.75兆
$17,827 Vol.
3%
1.75～2.00兆
$37,733 Vol.
95%
2.00〜2.25兆
$22,761 Vol.
2%
2.25兆〜2.50兆
$17,574 Vol.
1%
2.50兆ドル以上
$24,502 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and June 2026 roadshow guidance, setting an IPO price of $135 per share to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, underpin the 94% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range. This pricing aligns with the company’s 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion and reflects strong institutional demand ahead of a potential June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, following a December 2025 tender at roughly $800 billion. Trader consensus, backed by real capital commitments, prices in sustained Starlink and launch growth despite analyst models such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted cash flow estimate. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include slower-than-projected execution on Starship or regulatory delays that compress the valuation multiple.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$208,415マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and June 2026 roadshow guidance, setting an IPO price of $135 per share to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, underpin the 94% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range. This pricing aligns with the company’s 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion and reflects strong institutional demand ahead of a potential June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, following a December 2025 tender at roughly $800 billion. Trader consensus, backed by real capital commitments, prices in sustained Starlink and launch growth despite analyst models such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted cash flow estimate. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include slower-than-projected execution on Starship or regulatory delays that compress the valuation multiple.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$208,415マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and June 2026 roadshow guidance, setting an IPO price of $135 per share to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, underpin the 94% market-implied probability for the 1.75–2.00T range. This pricing aligns with the company’s 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion and reflects strong institutional demand ahead of a potential June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, following a December 2025 tender at roughly $800 billion. Trader consensus, backed by real capital commitments, prices in sustained Starlink and launch growth despite analyst models such as Morningstar’s $780 billion discounted cash flow estimate. Realistic scenarios that could shift odds include slower-than-projected execution on Starship or regulatory delays that compress the valuation multiple.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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