Magnus Carlsen enters the Esports World Cup Chess Finals in Paris as defending champion and recent winner of the Chess.com Open and TePe Sigeman events, giving traders the clearest signal of current form in a 22-player field featuring rapid 10+0 time controls and double-elimination brackets. His 55.5% implied probability reflects that edge, yet the market remains bunched because qualifiers via the Champions Chess Tour, Speed Chess Championship, and last-chance events have produced a deep group including Nakamura, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, Lazavik, and Esipenko, each with proven head-to-head records and recent CCT points. Group-stage play-ins and short matches amplify variance, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance through the August 11–15 schedule.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Magnus Carlsen 55%
Denis Lazavik 37%
Aleksej Sarana 26%
Hikaru Nakamura 25%
Magnus Carlsen
55%
Denis Lazavik
37%
Aleksej Sarana
26%
Hikaru Nakamura
25%
Alireza Firouzja
22%
Andrey Esipenko
22%
Nihal Sarin
22%
Hans Moke Niemann
22%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
22%
Arjun Erigaisi
22%
Sina Movahed
22%
Benjamin Bok
22%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
22%
Pranesh Munirethinam
22%
Wei Yi
21%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
20%
Magnus Carlsen 55%
Denis Lazavik 37%
Aleksej Sarana 26%
Hikaru Nakamura 25%
Magnus Carlsen
55%
Denis Lazavik
37%
Aleksej Sarana
26%
Hikaru Nakamura
25%
Alireza Firouzja
22%
Andrey Esipenko
22%
Nihal Sarin
22%
Hans Moke Niemann
22%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
22%
Arjun Erigaisi
22%
Sina Movahed
22%
Benjamin Bok
22%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
22%
Pranesh Munirethinam
22%
Wei Yi
21%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
20%
If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen enters the Esports World Cup Chess Finals in Paris as defending champion and recent winner of the Chess.com Open and TePe Sigeman events, giving traders the clearest signal of current form in a 22-player field featuring rapid 10+0 time controls and double-elimination brackets. His 55.5% implied probability reflects that edge, yet the market remains bunched because qualifiers via the Champions Chess Tour, Speed Chess Championship, and last-chance events have produced a deep group including Nakamura, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, Lazavik, and Esipenko, each with proven head-to-head records and recent CCT points. Group-stage play-ins and short matches amplify variance, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance through the August 11–15 schedule.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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