The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 43–47.5% for every constructor reflects the profound uncertainty introduced by Formula 1’s major 2026 technical regulations, which overhaul power units, aerodynamics, and chassis designs ahead of the Monza event. With pre-season testing and early-season data still limited, teams such as Alpine, Aston Martin, Williams, Audi, Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren, and Red Bull sit in a narrow band as traders weigh potential advantages in straight-line speed and high-speed stability on the Temple of Speed layout. New entrant Cadillac and midfield squads like Racing Bulls and Haas add further variables, while driver lineups featuring experienced names alongside rookies offer limited historical benchmarks. The wisdom of crowds in these prices underscores how quickly relative form can shift once more representative running occurs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alpine 47%
Aston Martin 47%
Racing Bulls 46%
Audi Revolut 46%
Alpine
47%
Aston Martin
47%
Racing Bulls
46%
Audi Revolut
46%
Cadillac
45%
Williams
45%
Mercedes
44%
Ferrari
44%
Mclaren Mastercard
44%
Red Bull
44%
Tgr Haas
43%
Alpine 47%
Aston Martin 47%
Racing Bulls 46%
Audi Revolut 46%
Alpine
47%
Aston Martin
47%
Racing Bulls
46%
Audi Revolut
46%
Cadillac
45%
Williams
45%
Mercedes
44%
Ferrari
44%
Mclaren Mastercard
44%
Red Bull
44%
Tgr Haas
43%
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 43–47.5% for every constructor reflects the profound uncertainty introduced by Formula 1’s major 2026 technical regulations, which overhaul power units, aerodynamics, and chassis designs ahead of the Monza event. With pre-season testing and early-season data still limited, teams such as Alpine, Aston Martin, Williams, Audi, Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren, and Red Bull sit in a narrow band as traders weigh potential advantages in straight-line speed and high-speed stability on the Temple of Speed layout. New entrant Cadillac and midfield squads like Racing Bulls and Haas add further variables, while driver lineups featuring experienced names alongside rookies offer limited historical benchmarks. The wisdom of crowds in these prices underscores how quickly relative form can shift once more representative running occurs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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