Market icon

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Market icon

February Unemployment Rate - Japan

Mar 31

Mar 31

2.7% 49%

2.8% 16%

2.6% 12%

2.9% 7.7%

Polymarket

$34,342 Vol.

2.7% 49%

2.8% 16%

2.6% 12%

2.9% 7.7%

Polymarket

$34,342 Vol.

≤2.4%

$13,471 Vol.

3%

2.5%

$0 Vol.

2%

2.6%

$278 Vol.

12%

2.7%

$507 Vol.

49%

2.8%

$405 Vol.

16%

2.9%

$18,830 Vol.

8%

≥3.0%

$850 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54% implied probability for Japan's February unemployment rate at 2.7%, up slightly from January's 2.6% print, reflecting resilient labor market dynamics amid cooling job openings and steady household spending data released last week. The Bank of Japan's focus on wage growth and employment stability—bolstered by record shunto wage hikes announced in mid-March—supports expectations of low but ticking-higher unemployment around 2.6-2.9%, with lower outcomes like ≤2.4% (3%) dismissed due to persistent worker shortages evidenced by the jobs-to-applicants ratio holding near 1.25. Upcoming official Statistics Bureau release on April 5 could shift sentiment, as any deviation from consensus forecasts may influence BOJ rate path expectations amid sub-2% inflation pressures.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54% implied probability for Japan's February unemployment rate at 2.7%, up slightly from January's 2.6% print, reflecting resilient labor market dynamics amid cooling job openings and steady household spending data released last week. The Bank of Japan's focus on wage growth and employment stability—bolstered by record shunto wage hikes announced in mid-March—supports expectations of low but ticking-higher unemployment around 2.6-2.9%, with lower outcomes like ≤2.4% (3%) dismissed due to persistent worker shortages evidenced by the jobs-to-applicants ratio holding near 1.25. Upcoming official Statistics Bureau release on April 5 could shift sentiment, as any deviation from consensus forecasts may influence BOJ rate path expectations amid sub-2% inflation pressures.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported in the Statistics Bureau of Japan's Labour Force Survey for February 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey for February 2026. Upon release, the survey will be made available at: https://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.html. The next data release is scheduled for March 31, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54% implied probability for Japan's February unemployment rate at 2.7%, up slightly from January's 2.6% print, reflecting resilient labor market dynamics amid cooling job openings and steady household spending data released last week. The Bank of Japan's focus on wage growth and employment stability—bolstered by record shunto wage hikes announced in mid-March—supports expectations of low but ticking-higher unemployment around 2.6-2.9%, with lower outcomes like ≤2.4% (3%) dismissed due to persistent worker shortages evidenced by the jobs-to-applicants ratio holding near 1.25. Upcoming official Statistics Bureau release on April 5 could shift sentiment, as any deviation from consensus forecasts may influence BOJ rate path expectations amid sub-2% inflation pressures.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54% implied probability for Japan's February unemployment rate at 2.7%, up slightly from January's 2.6% print, reflecting resilient labor market dynamics amid cooling job openings and steady household spending data released last week. The Bank of Japan's focus on wage growth and employment stability—bolstered by record shunto wage hikes announced in mid-March—supports expectations of low but ticking-higher unemployment around 2.6-2.9%, with lower outcomes like ≤2.4% (3%) dismissed due to persistent worker shortages evidenced by the jobs-to-applicants ratio holding near 1.25. Upcoming official Statistics Bureau release on April 5 could shift sentiment, as any deviation from consensus forecasts may influence BOJ rate path expectations amid sub-2% inflation pressures.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2.7%」で49%、次いで「2.8%」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、49¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に49%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」は$34.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」の現在のフロントランナーは「2.7%」で49%であり、市場がこの結果に49%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2.8%」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「February Unemployment Rate - Japan」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。