Recent August 2026 data showed the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1 percent alongside 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains, reflecting a balanced labor market where muted hiring is offset by subdued layoffs and sharply slower labor-force growth from reduced immigration and demographics. The Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point rate hike, prompted by energy-driven inflation pressures, has kept policy focused on price stability rather than employment risks, supporting trader views that the 2026 peak will likely remain near current levels. Key near-term catalysts include the October employment report and upcoming FOMC decisions, with market-implied odds reflecting the structural factors limiting upside in the rate through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$517,335 Vol.
2027/01/31
5.0%
5%
5.5%
4%
6.0%
2%
7.0%
4%
10.0%
3%
$517,335 Vol.
5.0%
$143,792 Vol.
5%
5.5%
$206,691 Vol.
4%
6.0%
$81,606 Vol.
2%
7.0%
$33,900 Vol.
4%
10.0%
$51,346 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August 2026 data showed the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1 percent alongside 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains, reflecting a balanced labor market where muted hiring is offset by subdued layoffs and sharply slower labor-force growth from reduced immigration and demographics. The Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point rate hike, prompted by energy-driven inflation pressures, has kept policy focused on price stability rather than employment risks, supporting trader views that the 2026 peak will likely remain near current levels. Key near-term catalysts include the October employment report and upcoming FOMC decisions, with market-implied odds reflecting the structural factors limiting upside in the rate through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
音量
$517,335終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August 2026 data showed the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1 percent alongside 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains, reflecting a balanced labor market where muted hiring is offset by subdued layoffs and sharply slower labor-force growth from reduced immigration and demographics. The Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point rate hike, prompted by energy-driven inflation pressures, has kept policy focused on price stability rather than employment risks, supporting trader views that the 2026 peak will likely remain near current levels. Key near-term catalysts include the October employment report and upcoming FOMC decisions, with market-implied odds reflecting the structural factors limiting upside in the rate through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$517,335終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070be91...Recent August 2026 data showed the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1 percent alongside 162,000 nonfarm payroll gains, reflecting a balanced labor market where muted hiring is offset by subdued layoffs and sharply slower labor-force growth from reduced immigration and demographics. The Federal Reserve’s September 25-basis-point rate hike, prompted by energy-driven inflation pressures, has kept policy focused on price stability rather than employment risks, supporting trader views that the 2026 peak will likely remain near current levels. Key near-term catalysts include the October employment report and upcoming FOMC decisions, with market-implied odds reflecting the structural factors limiting upside in the rate through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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