Gold futures for June delivery have consolidated in the mid-$4,000s following a sharp early-2026 correction from peaks above $5,500, driven by easing geopolitical tensions around Iran, firmer U.S. Treasury yields that reduced safe-haven demand, and the Federal Reserve’s higher-for-longer policy stance weighing on the non-yielding metal. Central bank purchases and persistent inflation concerns continue to provide a floor, supporting trader consensus for settlement in the $4,200–$4,600 range at 49.3% implied probability. Recent economic data and limited near-term Fed easing expectations reinforce this positioning ahead of upcoming CPI prints and FOMC communications, with the $3,800–$4,200 bucket holding secondary support at 35.5%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$4,200~$4,600 49.3%
$3,800~$4,200 35.5%
3,800ドル未満 9.0%
4,600~5,000ドル 8%
$1,039,470 Vol.
$1,039,470 Vol.
3,800ドル未満
9%
$3,800~$4,200
36%
$4,200~$4,600
49%
4,600~5,000ドル
8%
$5,000〜$5,400
1%
$5,400〜$5,800
1%
5,800~6,200ドル
<1%
6,200ドル超
1%
$4,200~$4,600 49.3%
$3,800~$4,200 35.5%
3,800ドル未満 9.0%
4,600~5,000ドル 8%
$1,039,470 Vol.
$1,039,470 Vol.
3,800ドル未満
9%
$3,800~$4,200
36%
$4,200~$4,600
49%
4,600~5,000ドル
8%
$5,000〜$5,400
1%
$5,400〜$5,800
1%
5,800~6,200ドル
<1%
6,200ドル超
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Gold futures for June delivery have consolidated in the mid-$4,000s following a sharp early-2026 correction from peaks above $5,500, driven by easing geopolitical tensions around Iran, firmer U.S. Treasury yields that reduced safe-haven demand, and the Federal Reserve’s higher-for-longer policy stance weighing on the non-yielding metal. Central bank purchases and persistent inflation concerns continue to provide a floor, supporting trader consensus for settlement in the $4,200–$4,600 range at 49.3% implied probability. Recent economic data and limited near-term Fed easing expectations reinforce this positioning ahead of upcoming CPI prints and FOMC communications, with the $3,800–$4,200 bucket holding secondary support at 35.5%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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