Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 34.5% implied probability to a 13°C high in Amsterdam on April 19, edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 14°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a cool northwest airflow. The latest KNMI guidance projects a 14°C maximum with moderate showers alternating with sun, 50% precipitation chance, northwest winds at force 3, and just 30% sunshine, factors that could cap temperatures through reduced insolation if clouds persist or boost them to 14°C with clearer breaks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, consistent with April climatological highs near 12–13°C at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station. New model runs and observations on April 18 may sharpen the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 19?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 19?
13°C 35%
12°C 26%
14°C 22%
15°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
12%
12°C
26%
13°C
35%
14°C
22%
15°C
12%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 35%
12°C 26%
14°C 22%
15°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
8°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$90 Vol.
1%
10°C
$80 Vol.
5%
11°C
$35 Vol.
12%
12°C
$35 Vol.
26%
13°C
$227 Vol.
35%
14°C
$42 Vol.
22%
15°C
$199 Vol.
12%
16°C
$242 Vol.
6%
17°C
$222 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$213 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 34.5% implied probability to a 13°C high in Amsterdam on April 19, edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 14°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a cool northwest airflow. The latest KNMI guidance projects a 14°C maximum with moderate showers alternating with sun, 50% precipitation chance, northwest winds at force 3, and just 30% sunshine, factors that could cap temperatures through reduced insolation if clouds persist or boost them to 14°C with clearer breaks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, consistent with April climatological highs near 12–13°C at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station. New model runs and observations on April 18 may sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
音量
$1,605終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 34.5% implied probability to a 13°C high in Amsterdam on April 19, edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 14°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a cool northwest airflow. The latest KNMI guidance projects a 14°C maximum with moderate showers alternating with sun, 50% precipitation chance, northwest winds at force 3, and just 30% sunshine, factors that could cap temperatures through reduced insolation if clouds persist or boost them to 14°C with clearer breaks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, consistent with April climatological highs near 12–13°C at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station. New model runs and observations on April 18 may sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,605終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 34.5% implied probability to a 13°C high in Amsterdam on April 19, edging out 12°C (25.5%) and 14°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid a cool northwest airflow. The latest KNMI guidance projects a 14°C maximum with moderate showers alternating with sun, 50% precipitation chance, northwest winds at force 3, and just 30% sunshine, factors that could cap temperatures through reduced insolation if clouds persist or boost them to 14°C with clearer breaks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means hover around 13°C, consistent with April climatological highs near 12–13°C at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station. New model runs and observations on April 18 may sharpen the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問