Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月18日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
7月18日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
19℃ 100.0%
16℃以下 <1%
17℃ <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 Vol.
$70,854 Vol.
2026/07/18
16℃以下
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
はい
20°C
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃以上
いいえ
19℃ 100.0%
16℃以下 <1%
17℃ <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 Vol.
$70,854 Vol.
2026/07/18
16℃以下
$6,917 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$9,776 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$10,250 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$17,835 Vol.
はい
20°C
$13,128 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$7,726 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$3,073 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$849 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$702 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$298 Vol.
いいえ
26℃以上
$300 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
音量
$70,854終了日
2026/07/18マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$70,854終了日
2026/07/18マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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