Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月21日のアンカラの最高気温は？
7月21日のアンカラの最高気温は？
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,379 Vol.
$50,379 Vol.
2026/07/21
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,379 Vol.
$50,379 Vol.
2026/07/21
30°C or below
$1,894 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,813 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,987 Vol.
No
33°C
$14,685 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$8,669 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,881 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,510 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,954 Vol.
No
38°C
$645 Vol.
No
39°C
$170 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$170 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$50,379終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$50,379終了日
2026/07/21マーケット開始日
Jul 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Persistent high-pressure systems and clear, dry conditions across central Anatolia are positioning Ankara for a July 21 daily maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Numerical weather models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus runs show light northerly flow, minimal cloud cover, and surface heating typical of the region’s continental climate, where July averages reach about 32 °C. Recent observations confirm stable subsidence and negligible moisture advection that would otherwise limit daytime warming or trigger convective cooling. With the event only two days away and no significant model shifts anticipated before resolution, trader sentiment remains anchored to these narrow temperature bands rather than outliers driven by atypical synoptic changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問