Short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models place Ankara's June 25 daytime maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear, dry early-summer conditions typical of the region. This consensus, aligned with climatological June averages of roughly 26–28°C and recent observed warming trends, concentrates trader probability on the 29–30°C outcomes. Small differences in afternoon heating, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal timing across model runs create the narrow spread separating 28°C from 31°C bins, while official Turkish Meteorological Service station measurements will determine exact resolution. Limited variability in guidance keeps extreme tails below 2% implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on June 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 25?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$76,192 Vol.
$76,192 Vol.
2026/06/25
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$76,192 Vol.
$76,192 Vol.
2026/06/25
25°C or below
$1,076 Vol.
No
26°C
$15,863 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,249 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,892 Vol.
No
29°C
$19,764 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$7,355 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,491 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,648 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,015 Vol.
No
34°C
$638 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$200 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models place Ankara's June 25 daytime maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear, dry early-summer conditions typical of the region. This consensus, aligned with climatological June averages of roughly 26–28°C and recent observed warming trends, concentrates trader probability on the 29–30°C outcomes. Small differences in afternoon heating, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal timing across model runs create the narrow spread separating 28°C from 31°C bins, while official Turkish Meteorological Service station measurements will determine exact resolution. Limited variability in guidance keeps extreme tails below 2% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
音量
$76,192終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models place Ankara's June 25 daytime maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear, dry early-summer conditions typical of the region. This consensus, aligned with climatological June averages of roughly 26–28°C and recent observed warming trends, concentrates trader probability on the 29–30°C outcomes. Small differences in afternoon heating, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal timing across model runs create the narrow spread separating 28°C from 31°C bins, while official Turkish Meteorological Service station measurements will determine exact resolution. Limited variability in guidance keeps extreme tails below 2% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$76,192終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Short-range ensemble forecasts from regional models place Ankara's June 25 daytime maximum near 28–30°C under mostly clear, dry early-summer conditions typical of the region. This consensus, aligned with climatological June averages of roughly 26–28°C and recent observed warming trends, concentrates trader probability on the 29–30°C outcomes. Small differences in afternoon heating, boundary-layer mixing, or weak frontal timing across model runs create the narrow spread separating 28°C from 31°C bins, while official Turkish Meteorological Service station measurements will determine exact resolution. Limited variability in guidance keeps extreme tails below 2% implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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