Recent forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather place Seoul's July 8 overnight low near 23–24°C amid the active East Asian monsoon, with elevated humidity near 80% and frequent showers suppressing clear-sky radiative cooling. This keeps minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, as cloud cover and light southerly winds promote mixing in the boundary layer. Historical July averages hover around 22–24°C, but model runs show minor divergences in precipitation timing and wind speed that differentiate the 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with consensus clustering on the narrow 23–24°C band while assigning lower probability to cooler readings below 22°C or warmer thresholds above 25°C. Updated model guidance and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.