Recent forecasts indicate a weather disturbance bringing cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain to Chongqing around August 4, moderating peak temperatures below typical August averages of 33–35°C. Reduced solar radiation under overcast skies, combined with evaporative cooling from precipitation and higher humidity in the subtropical monsoon climate, limits surface heating and favors daily maxima near 30–32°C. Numerical weather models show consensus on these conditions, with limited disagreement on exact intensity, while historical climatology notes occasional August cooling episodes from similar systems. Traders price the closely matched 30°C and 31°C outcomes highest, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing and rainfall amounts that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official CMA guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine probabilities further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日の重慶の最高気温は？
8月4日の重慶の最高気温は？
31℃ 32%
30℃ 31%
32°C 24%
29℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
27℃以下
4%
28°C
4%
29℃
9%
30℃
31%
31℃
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36℃
2%
37°C以上
2%
31℃ 32%
30℃ 31%
32°C 24%
29℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
27℃以下
$37 Vol.
4%
28°C
$3 Vol.
4%
29℃
$11 Vol.
9%
30℃
$8 Vol.
31%
31℃
$14 Vol.
32%
32°C
$3 Vol.
24%
33°C
$3 Vol.
8%
34°C
$15 Vol.
2%
35°C
$21 Vol.
1%
36℃
$20 Vol.
2%
37°C以上
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a weather disturbance bringing cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain to Chongqing around August 4, moderating peak temperatures below typical August averages of 33–35°C. Reduced solar radiation under overcast skies, combined with evaporative cooling from precipitation and higher humidity in the subtropical monsoon climate, limits surface heating and favors daily maxima near 30–32°C. Numerical weather models show consensus on these conditions, with limited disagreement on exact intensity, while historical climatology notes occasional August cooling episodes from similar systems. Traders price the closely matched 30°C and 31°C outcomes highest, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing and rainfall amounts that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official CMA guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$149終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a weather disturbance bringing cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain to Chongqing around August 4, moderating peak temperatures below typical August averages of 33–35°C. Reduced solar radiation under overcast skies, combined with evaporative cooling from precipitation and higher humidity in the subtropical monsoon climate, limits surface heating and favors daily maxima near 30–32°C. Numerical weather models show consensus on these conditions, with limited disagreement on exact intensity, while historical climatology notes occasional August cooling episodes from similar systems. Traders price the closely matched 30°C and 31°C outcomes highest, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing and rainfall amounts that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official CMA guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$149終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts indicate a weather disturbance bringing cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rain to Chongqing around August 4, moderating peak temperatures below typical August averages of 33–35°C. Reduced solar radiation under overcast skies, combined with evaporative cooling from precipitation and higher humidity in the subtropical monsoon climate, limits surface heating and favors daily maxima near 30–32°C. Numerical weather models show consensus on these conditions, with limited disagreement on exact intensity, while historical climatology notes occasional August cooling episodes from similar systems. Traders price the closely matched 30°C and 31°C outcomes highest, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing and rainfall amounts that could shift the high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official CMA guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours may refine probabilities further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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