Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41% implied probability to a 74-75°F high in Austin on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles forecasting persistent morning cloud cover and isolated showers from a lingering weak frontal boundary over Central Texas. This caps daytime heating below April climatological normals of 77-80°F amid elevated soil moisture from recent storms (April 4-13), which brought gusty winds, heavy rain, and below-average temperatures. Upper-air analyses show a subtle trough suppressing ridging, with satellite observations confirming widespread stratus decks. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate; monitor evening 00z model runs and NWS updates for potential shifts toward slightly warmer outcomes if clearing accelerates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on April 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 18?
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 22.3%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 9%
新規
$34,945 Vol.
新規
$34,945 Vol.
2026/04/18
69°F or below
3%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 22.3%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 9%
新規
$34,945 Vol.
新規
$34,945 Vol.
2026/04/18
69°F or below
$1,063 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$1,830 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$1,996 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$865 Vol.
42%
76-77°F
$522 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$1,268 Vol.
9%
80-81°F
$3,991 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$3,281 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$4,641 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$14,042 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$1,447 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41% implied probability to a 74-75°F high in Austin on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles forecasting persistent morning cloud cover and isolated showers from a lingering weak frontal boundary over Central Texas. This caps daytime heating below April climatological normals of 77-80°F amid elevated soil moisture from recent storms (April 4-13), which brought gusty winds, heavy rain, and below-average temperatures. Upper-air analyses show a subtle trough suppressing ridging, with satellite observations confirming widespread stratus decks. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate; monitor evening 00z model runs and NWS updates for potential shifts toward slightly warmer outcomes if clearing accelerates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
音量
$34,945終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41% implied probability to a 74-75°F high in Austin on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles forecasting persistent morning cloud cover and isolated showers from a lingering weak frontal boundary over Central Texas. This caps daytime heating below April climatological normals of 77-80°F amid elevated soil moisture from recent storms (April 4-13), which brought gusty winds, heavy rain, and below-average temperatures. Upper-air analyses show a subtle trough suppressing ridging, with satellite observations confirming widespread stratus decks. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate; monitor evening 00z model runs and NWS updates for potential shifts toward slightly warmer outcomes if clearing accelerates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$34,945終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 41% implied probability to a 74-75°F high in Austin on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles forecasting persistent morning cloud cover and isolated showers from a lingering weak frontal boundary over Central Texas. This caps daytime heating below April climatological normals of 77-80°F amid elevated soil moisture from recent storms (April 4-13), which brought gusty winds, heavy rain, and below-average temperatures. Upper-air analyses show a subtle trough suppressing ridging, with satellite observations confirming widespread stratus decks. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate; monitor evening 00z model runs and NWS updates for potential shifts toward slightly warmer outcomes if clearing accelerates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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