Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on June 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 23?
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,957 Vol.
$27,957 Vol.
2026/06/23
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,957 Vol.
$27,957 Vol.
2026/06/23
85°F or below
$0 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$501 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,171 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$2,222 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$7,039 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$4,943 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$5,113 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$5,056 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$1,709 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$197 Vol.
No
104°F or higher
$5 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET
音量
$27,957終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$27,957終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 21, 2026, 9:11 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance indicate a dry, warming trend across central Texas through mid-week, driven by strengthening high pressure and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmer air masses. Forecast highs for June 23 center on the mid-90s, with limited cloud cover and subsidence promoting daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal normals around 93–96 °F. Scattered convection remains possible but is not expected to suppress peak temperatures significantly. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5 % implied probability for 94–95 °F, aligns with this consensus range while assigning lower odds to outliers, consistent with typical model spread and the narrow resolution window for daily maximum readings at official Austin stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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