Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23–25°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest forecast from the China Meteorological Administration's World Meteorological Centre Beijing, which projects a 25°C high amid cloudy conditions and northwest gentle breezes bringing cooler air from Mongolia. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where slight divergences arise from cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 23–24°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial clearing favors 25°C. April's climatological average high nears 20°C, but recent spring warming and frontal timing add uncertainty; watch CMA's daily updates through April 18 for refinements ahead of resolution at Beijing Capital International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
23°C 31%
24°C 31%
25°C 30%
22°C 24%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
16%
22°C
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
31%
25°C
30%
26°C
11%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
2%
23°C 31%
24°C 31%
25°C 30%
22°C 24%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
16%
22°C
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
31%
25°C
30%
26°C
11%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23–25°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 19, driven by the latest forecast from the China Meteorological Administration's World Meteorological Centre Beijing, which projects a 25°C high amid cloudy conditions and northwest gentle breezes bringing cooler air from Mongolia. This reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, where slight divergences arise from cloud cover variability—thicker overcast could cap peaks at 23–24°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial clearing favors 25°C. April's climatological average high nears 20°C, but recent spring warming and frontal timing add uncertainty; watch CMA's daily updates through April 18 for refinements ahead of resolution at Beijing Capital International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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