National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月12日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
7月12日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$120,219 Vol.
$120,219 Vol.
2026/07/12
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$120,219 Vol.
$120,219 Vol.
2026/07/12
73°F or below
$2,210 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,519 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$5,528 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$14,517 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$17,367 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$16,436 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$13,428 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$15,565 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$20,194 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$7,112 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$5,343 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$120,219終了日
2026/07/12マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$120,219終了日
2026/07/12マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 83°F for New York City on July 12 under mostly sunny skies and northeast flow following earlier heat-wave conditions. This positions the 82–85°F range as the market focus, with differentiation driven by variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, sea-breeze onset timing, and any residual mid-level moisture that could trim peak insolation. Historical July normals hover near 85°F, but recent cooling advection has lowered expectations; small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could easily move the verified Central Park maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問