Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF currently project a Munich maximum near 21–22°C on July 19 under stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with mid-July climatology of roughly 23–24°C while reflecting subdued insolation and limited warm-air advection ahead of any frontal passage. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, yet minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Fresh ensemble runs and observational updates through July 18 will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official DWD station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月19日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
21°C 34%
22°C 26%
20°C 23%
19°C or below 11%
19°C or below
11%
20°C
23%
21°C
34%
22°C
26%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 34%
22°C 26%
20°C 23%
19°C or below 11%
19°C or below
11%
20°C
23%
21°C
34%
22°C
26%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF currently project a Munich maximum near 21–22°C on July 19 under stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with mid-July climatology of roughly 23–24°C while reflecting subdued insolation and limited warm-air advection ahead of any frontal passage. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, yet minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Fresh ensemble runs and observational updates through July 18 will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official DWD station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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