Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position Istanbul's July 19 daily maximum near 28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge and modest northerly flow that limits extreme heating while allowing typical insolation. Bosphorus sea-breeze effects and variable boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty across the 27–29°C range, aligning with mid-July climatology of 28–30°C highs. Current conditions remain consistent with these projections, with no major synoptic shifts expected before the event. Trader consensus at 28°C (50%) reflects this model agreement, though updates from the Turkish Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs in the next 48 hours could adjust implied probabilities ahead of official station resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月19日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
7月19日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
28℃ 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$27,578 Vol.
$27,578 Vol.
2026/07/19
23℃以下
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
はい
29°C
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃以上
いいえ
28℃ 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$27,578 Vol.
$27,578 Vol.
2026/07/19
23℃以下
$380 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$743 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$1,725 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$1,674 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$2,648 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$7,300 Vol.
はい
29°C
$3,987 Vol.
いいえ
30°C
$1,749 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$5,140 Vol.
いいえ
32℃
$2,006 Vol.
いいえ
33℃以上
$225 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position Istanbul's July 19 daily maximum near 28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge and modest northerly flow that limits extreme heating while allowing typical insolation. Bosphorus sea-breeze effects and variable boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty across the 27–29°C range, aligning with mid-July climatology of 28–30°C highs. Current conditions remain consistent with these projections, with no major synoptic shifts expected before the event. Trader consensus at 28°C (50%) reflects this model agreement, though updates from the Turkish Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs in the next 48 hours could adjust implied probabilities ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$27,578終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position Istanbul's July 19 daily maximum near 28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge and modest northerly flow that limits extreme heating while allowing typical insolation. Bosphorus sea-breeze effects and variable boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty across the 27–29°C range, aligning with mid-July climatology of 28–30°C highs. Current conditions remain consistent with these projections, with no major synoptic shifts expected before the event. Trader consensus at 28°C (50%) reflects this model agreement, though updates from the Turkish Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs in the next 48 hours could adjust implied probabilities ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$27,578終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent ensemble forecasts from global models position Istanbul's July 19 daily maximum near 28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge and modest northerly flow that limits extreme heating while allowing typical insolation. Bosphorus sea-breeze effects and variable boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty across the 27–29°C range, aligning with mid-July climatology of 28–30°C highs. Current conditions remain consistent with these projections, with no major synoptic shifts expected before the event. Trader consensus at 28°C (50%) reflects this model agreement, though updates from the Turkish Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs in the next 48 hours could adjust implied probabilities ahead of official station resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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