Forecast models indicate increasing cloud cover and showers on July 26, limiting solar heating and likely capping Shenzhen's daily maximum near 29–30 °C, which explains why these outcomes hold the highest market-implied odds. Recent days have featured clearer, sunnier conditions supporting highs of 31–34 °C, but the shift to overcast skies and precipitation reduces insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling. Subtropical humidity and typical July monsoon patterns further moderate peaks, though timing of any rain bands introduces forecast spread. Traders weigh National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs showing modest cooling against the risk of breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 32 °C or higher. Updated model outputs and radar trends over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月26日の深センの最高気温は？
7月26日の深センの最高気温は？
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 18%
27°C 17%
新規
$34,468 Vol.
新規
$34,468 Vol.
2026/07/26
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
17%
28°C
32%
29°C
30%
30°C
18%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 18%
27°C 17%
新規
$34,468 Vol.
新規
$34,468 Vol.
2026/07/26
24°C or below
$5,480 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,533 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,268 Vol.
2%
27°C
$2,720 Vol.
17%
28°C
$2,680 Vol.
32%
29°C
$1,296 Vol.
30%
30°C
$3,496 Vol.
18%
31°C
$2,014 Vol.
9%
32°C
$2,260 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,660 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$5,060 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate increasing cloud cover and showers on July 26, limiting solar heating and likely capping Shenzhen's daily maximum near 29–30 °C, which explains why these outcomes hold the highest market-implied odds. Recent days have featured clearer, sunnier conditions supporting highs of 31–34 °C, but the shift to overcast skies and precipitation reduces insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling. Subtropical humidity and typical July monsoon patterns further moderate peaks, though timing of any rain bands introduces forecast spread. Traders weigh National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs showing modest cooling against the risk of breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 32 °C or higher. Updated model outputs and radar trends over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$34,468終了日
2026/07/26マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate increasing cloud cover and showers on July 26, limiting solar heating and likely capping Shenzhen's daily maximum near 29–30 °C, which explains why these outcomes hold the highest market-implied odds. Recent days have featured clearer, sunnier conditions supporting highs of 31–34 °C, but the shift to overcast skies and precipitation reduces insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling. Subtropical humidity and typical July monsoon patterns further moderate peaks, though timing of any rain bands introduces forecast spread. Traders weigh National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs showing modest cooling against the risk of breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 32 °C or higher. Updated model outputs and radar trends over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$34,468終了日
2026/07/26マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETForecast models indicate increasing cloud cover and showers on July 26, limiting solar heating and likely capping Shenzhen's daily maximum near 29–30 °C, which explains why these outcomes hold the highest market-implied odds. Recent days have featured clearer, sunnier conditions supporting highs of 31–34 °C, but the shift to overcast skies and precipitation reduces insolation while enhancing evaporative cooling. Subtropical humidity and typical July monsoon patterns further moderate peaks, though timing of any rain bands introduces forecast spread. Traders weigh National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs showing modest cooling against the risk of breaks in cloud allowing brief warming toward 32 °C or higher. Updated model outputs and radar trends over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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