Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Helsinki on July 27, with model spreads centered near 19–20 °C. Southerly flow may briefly advect slightly warmer continental air, yet persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and the moderating influence of the still-cool Baltic Sea surface (around 12–14 °C) limit strong diurnal warming. Subtle differences in the timing of any frontal passage or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced among the 18–21 °C outcomes while colder or much warmer scenarios stay low-probability outliers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月27日のヘルシンキの最高気温は?
20℃ 36%
19°C 31%
21°C 18%
18°C 12%
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
3%
17℃
6%
18°C
12%
19°C
31%
20℃
36%
21°C
18%
22°C以上
4%
20℃ 36%
19°C 31%
21°C 18%
18°C 12%
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
3%
17℃
6%
18°C
12%
19°C
31%
20℃
36%
21°C
18%
22°C以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Helsinki on July 27, with model spreads centered near 19–20 °C. Southerly flow may briefly advect slightly warmer continental air, yet persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and the moderating influence of the still-cool Baltic Sea surface (around 12–14 °C) limit strong diurnal warming. Subtle differences in the timing of any frontal passage or convective development can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why market-implied probabilities remain closely balanced among the 18–21 °C outcomes while colder or much warmer scenarios stay low-probability outliers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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