Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月27日の東京の最高気温は?
30°C 37%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
13%
29°C
25%
30°C
37%
31°C
22%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 13%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
13%
29°C
25%
30°C
37%
31°C
22%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 27 with a chance of scattered showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer late-July patterns. This aligns with the closely matched market odds around 29–31°C, where trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in exact insolation and timing of any afternoon convection. Typical climatology places the daily normal high near 31.4°C, but urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally under full sun, while increased cloud cover or rain suppresses readings toward the lower end of the distribution. Model consensus and updated guidance on boundary-layer moisture will likely narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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