Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月19日の上海の最低気温は？
7月19日の上海の最低気温は？
26°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25℃ <1%
$78,921 Vol.
$78,921 Vol.
2026/07/19
23℃以下
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
はい
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33℃以上
いいえ
26°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25℃ <1%
$78,921 Vol.
$78,921 Vol.
2026/07/19
23℃以下
$7,616 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$5,348 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$2,503 Vol.
いいえ
26°C
$4,738 Vol.
はい
27℃
$15,486 Vol.
いいえ
28°C
$35,703 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$3,355 Vol.
いいえ
30°C
$854 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$1,071 Vol.
いいえ
32°C
$1,123 Vol.
いいえ
33℃以上
$1,123 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$78,921終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$78,921終了日
2026/07/19マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecasts for Shanghai show a minimum temperature near 27°C on July 19 amid thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, yet the market assigns the highest implied probability (44.5%) to 23°C or below. This positioning reflects trader focus on potential cooling from regional monsoon dynamics and heightened typhoon activity, as China's National Climate Center anticipates above-average cyclone formation in the Northwest Pacific during July. Such systems can enhance rainfall, reduce daytime heating, and advect cooler maritime air, occasionally driving overnight lows below the typical 25–28°C climatological range. Model consensus and recent storm developments introduce uncertainty around exact minima, with resolution hinging on official observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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