Shanghai's typical midsummer conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure and warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, support a minimum temperature near 28°C on July 31. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 27–28°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, consistent with July climatology showing average lows around 27–28°C and minimal diurnal cooling. The near-certain market pricing at 28°C reflects this strong model consensus and the absence of any cold fronts or heavy rainfall that could enhance radiational cooling. A drop to 25°C would require an atypical surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover and precipitation, neither of which appears in current observations or short-range guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日の上海の最低気温は?
28°C 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24℃ <1%
$31,241 Vol.
$31,241 Vol.
22°C以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28°C
はい
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
28°C 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24℃ <1%
$31,241 Vol.
$31,241 Vol.
22°C以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28°C
はい
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31°C
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Shanghai's typical midsummer conditions, driven by subtropical high pressure and warm, humid air masses from the East China Sea, support a minimum temperature near 28°C on July 31. Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project overnight lows of 27–28°C under mostly clear skies with light winds, consistent with July climatology showing average lows around 27–28°C and minimal diurnal cooling. The near-certain market pricing at 28°C reflects this strong model consensus and the absence of any cold fronts or heavy rainfall that could enhance radiational cooling. A drop to 25°C would require an atypical surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover and precipitation, neither of which appears in current observations or short-range guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問