Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across southern South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific High and warm southerly flow, underpin trader focus on 34°C and 35°C as the most probable highs for Busan on August 5. Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm recent peaks near 39°C in Busan on August 1 and a national record 42.5°C nearby in Yangsan on August 2, sustaining elevated baseline temperatures. Short-range model consensus points to modest moderation by mid-week from subtle shifts in steering patterns, though persistent humidity and limited cloud cover keep upper-30s Celsius plausible. Upcoming KMA updates and refined ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の釜山の最高気温は？
8月5日の釜山の最高気温は？
34℃ 43%
35℃ 24%
33°C 23%
32℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
30℃以下
1%
31℃
4%
32℃
7%
33°C
23%
34℃
43%
35℃
24%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39℃
1%
40℃以上
1%
34℃ 43%
35℃ 24%
33°C 23%
32℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
30℃以下
$65 Vol.
1%
31℃
$81 Vol.
4%
32℃
$52 Vol.
7%
33°C
$57 Vol.
23%
34℃
$235 Vol.
43%
35℃
$53 Vol.
24%
36°C
$95 Vol.
5%
37°C
$71 Vol.
2%
38°C
$274 Vol.
2%
39℃
$35 Vol.
1%
40℃以上
$156 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across southern South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific High and warm southerly flow, underpin trader focus on 34°C and 35°C as the most probable highs for Busan on August 5. Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm recent peaks near 39°C in Busan on August 1 and a national record 42.5°C nearby in Yangsan on August 2, sustaining elevated baseline temperatures. Short-range model consensus points to modest moderation by mid-week from subtle shifts in steering patterns, though persistent humidity and limited cloud cover keep upper-30s Celsius plausible. Upcoming KMA updates and refined ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$1,175終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across southern South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific High and warm southerly flow, underpin trader focus on 34°C and 35°C as the most probable highs for Busan on August 5. Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm recent peaks near 39°C in Busan on August 1 and a national record 42.5°C nearby in Yangsan on August 2, sustaining elevated baseline temperatures. Short-range model consensus points to modest moderation by mid-week from subtle shifts in steering patterns, though persistent humidity and limited cloud cover keep upper-30s Celsius plausible. Upcoming KMA updates and refined ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,175終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETOngoing extreme heatwave conditions across southern South Korea, driven by the expansive North Pacific High and warm southerly flow, underpin trader focus on 34°C and 35°C as the most probable highs for Busan on August 5. Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm recent peaks near 39°C in Busan on August 1 and a national record 42.5°C nearby in Yangsan on August 2, sustaining elevated baseline temperatures. Short-range model consensus points to modest moderation by mid-week from subtle shifts in steering patterns, though persistent humidity and limited cloud cover keep upper-30s Celsius plausible. Upcoming KMA updates and refined ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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