Recent forecast model runs highlight a transitional weather pattern over northern France, with high pressure weakening after a prolonged heatwave and allowing greater advection of cooler maritime air from the Atlantic. This introduces notable uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, as radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and wind speeds could produce lows ranging from the mid-teens to low-20s Celsius. Trader consensus around 16–19°C reflects these ensemble spreads from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF, where small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could alter outcomes. Historical August minima near 15°C provide context, but current conditions favor a dip below recent 21°C readings without guaranteeing extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のパリの最低気温は？
8月5日のパリの最低気温は？
16°C or below 78%
20°C 35%
19°C 22%
18°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
16°C or below
78%
17°C
16%
18°C
18%
19°C
22%
20°C
35%
21°C
17%
22°C
11%
23°C
15%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C or higher
1%
16°C or below 78%
20°C 35%
19°C 22%
18°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
16°C or below
$32 Vol.
78%
17°C
$10 Vol.
16%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$5 Vol.
35%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$35 Vol.
15%
24°C
$32 Vol.
16%
25°C
$22 Vol.
16%
26°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight a transitional weather pattern over northern France, with high pressure weakening after a prolonged heatwave and allowing greater advection of cooler maritime air from the Atlantic. This introduces notable uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, as radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and wind speeds could produce lows ranging from the mid-teens to low-20s Celsius. Trader consensus around 16–19°C reflects these ensemble spreads from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF, where small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could alter outcomes. Historical August minima near 15°C provide context, but current conditions favor a dip below recent 21°C readings without guaranteeing extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$157終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs highlight a transitional weather pattern over northern France, with high pressure weakening after a prolonged heatwave and allowing greater advection of cooler maritime air from the Atlantic. This introduces notable uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, as radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and wind speeds could produce lows ranging from the mid-teens to low-20s Celsius. Trader consensus around 16–19°C reflects these ensemble spreads from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF, where small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could alter outcomes. Historical August minima near 15°C provide context, but current conditions favor a dip below recent 21°C readings without guaranteeing extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$157終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model runs highlight a transitional weather pattern over northern France, with high pressure weakening after a prolonged heatwave and allowing greater advection of cooler maritime air from the Atlantic. This introduces notable uncertainty in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, as radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and wind speeds could produce lows ranging from the mid-teens to low-20s Celsius. Trader consensus around 16–19°C reflects these ensemble spreads from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF, where small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could alter outcomes. Historical August minima near 15°C provide context, but current conditions favor a dip below recent 21°C readings without guaranteeing extremes. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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