The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の香港の最低気温は?
27°C 100.0%
21℃以下 <1%
22℃ <1%
23℃ <1%
$103,291 Vol.
$103,291 Vol.
21℃以下
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
はい
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃以上
いいえ
27°C 100.0%
21℃以下 <1%
22℃ <1%
23℃ <1%
$103,291 Vol.
$103,291 Vol.
21℃以下
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
はい
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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