Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy conditions on August 8 with daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer high pressure and the urban heat island effect typically elevate maximum temperatures 1–3°C above regional norms in central Tokyo, while partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70–80% can limit further intensification. Recent days have seen peaks of 33°C, aligning with the 21.5% probability on 32°C and 14% on 34°C as plausible variations from model uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31.8°C provide context, but current seasonal warmth supports the clustered probabilities around 32–34°C ahead of the final observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の東京の最高気温は？
8月8日の東京の最高気温は？
33°C 42%
32°C 22%
34°C 14%
35°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
9%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
14%
35°C
13%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
32°C 22%
34°C 14%
35°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
27°C or below
$131 Vol.
1%
28°C
$77 Vol.
1%
29°C
$24 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$3 Vol.
9%
32°C
$34 Vol.
22%
33°C
$116 Vol.
42%
34°C
$0 Vol.
14%
35°C
$134 Vol.
13%
36°C
$17 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$7 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy conditions on August 8 with daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer high pressure and the urban heat island effect typically elevate maximum temperatures 1–3°C above regional norms in central Tokyo, while partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70–80% can limit further intensification. Recent days have seen peaks of 33°C, aligning with the 21.5% probability on 32°C and 14% on 34°C as plausible variations from model uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31.8°C provide context, but current seasonal warmth supports the clustered probabilities around 32–34°C ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$544終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy conditions on August 8 with daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer high pressure and the urban heat island effect typically elevate maximum temperatures 1–3°C above regional norms in central Tokyo, while partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70–80% can limit further intensification. Recent days have seen peaks of 33°C, aligning with the 21.5% probability on 32°C and 14% on 34°C as plausible variations from model uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31.8°C provide context, but current seasonal warmth supports the clustered probabilities around 32–34°C ahead of the final observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$544終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate partly cloudy conditions on August 8 with daytime highs near 33°C, consistent with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer high pressure and the urban heat island effect typically elevate maximum temperatures 1–3°C above regional norms in central Tokyo, while partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity levels around 70–80% can limit further intensification. Recent days have seen peaks of 33°C, aligning with the 21.5% probability on 32°C and 14% on 34°C as plausible variations from model uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 31.8°C provide context, but current seasonal warmth supports the clustered probabilities around 32–34°C ahead of the final observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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