Tokyo's peak August temperatures typically range 30–35°C under the influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals showing a daily maximum near 31.8°C amid high humidity that amplifies heat stress. As of early August 2026, extended outlooks indicate continued hot, muggy conditions without major cooling fronts or typhoon disruptions in the immediate forecast window, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat-island intensification, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C; model consensus remains limited this far ahead, leaving room for revisions from updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance closer to the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の東京の最高気温は？
8月7日の東京の最高気温は？
33°C 33%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
35°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
20%
33°C
33%
34°C
31%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 33%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
35°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
28°C or below
$24 Vol.
1%
29°C
$22 Vol.
2%
30°C
$14 Vol.
3%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C
$66 Vol.
20%
33°C
$3 Vol.
33%
34°C
$59 Vol.
31%
35°C
$38 Vol.
10%
36°C
$148 Vol.
4%
37°C
$39 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's peak August temperatures typically range 30–35°C under the influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals showing a daily maximum near 31.8°C amid high humidity that amplifies heat stress. As of early August 2026, extended outlooks indicate continued hot, muggy conditions without major cooling fronts or typhoon disruptions in the immediate forecast window, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat-island intensification, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C; model consensus remains limited this far ahead, leaving room for revisions from updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$443終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's peak August temperatures typically range 30–35°C under the influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals showing a daily maximum near 31.8°C amid high humidity that amplifies heat stress. As of early August 2026, extended outlooks indicate continued hot, muggy conditions without major cooling fronts or typhoon disruptions in the immediate forecast window, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat-island intensification, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C; model consensus remains limited this far ahead, leaving room for revisions from updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$443終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTokyo's peak August temperatures typically range 30–35°C under the influence of the North Pacific subtropical high, with Japan Meteorological Agency normals showing a daily maximum near 31.8°C amid high humidity that amplifies heat stress. As of early August 2026, extended outlooks indicate continued hot, muggy conditions without major cooling fronts or typhoon disruptions in the immediate forecast window, supporting the near-even market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat-island intensification, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C; model consensus remains limited this far ahead, leaving room for revisions from updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance closer to the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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