**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
8月4日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
72〜73°F 27%
74〜75°F 25%
76〜77°F 18%
70〜71°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
67°F以下
1%
68〜69°F
4%
70〜71°F
17%
72〜73°F
27%
74〜75°F
25%
76〜77°F
18%
78～79°F
6%
80〜81°F
4%
82〜83°F
1%
84〜85°F
<1%
華氏86度以上
<1%
72〜73°F 27%
74〜75°F 25%
76〜77°F 18%
70〜71°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
67°F以下
$648 Vol.
1%
68〜69°F
$249 Vol.
4%
70〜71°F
$388 Vol.
17%
72〜73°F
$225 Vol.
27%
74〜75°F
$234 Vol.
25%
76〜77°F
$280 Vol.
18%
78～79°F
$181 Vol.
6%
80〜81°F
$186 Vol.
4%
82〜83°F
$333 Vol.
1%
84〜85°F
$286 Vol.
<1%
華氏86度以上
$319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
音量
$3,329終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,329終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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