Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 90°F under partly sunny skies with scattered thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, driven by typical summer sea-breeze convergence and abundant tropical moisture that caps extreme daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 90-91°F outcome at 39% implied probability, while the secondary clustering around 88-89°F and 92-93°F reflects model uncertainty in storm timing and coverage. Prolonged above-normal heat through July, including record heat-index duration, has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, yet climatological averages near 89°F and frequent convective cooling keep probabilities for 94°F or higher below 3%. Updated short-range model runs and the final Miami International Airport observation will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のマイアミの最高気温は？
8月4日のマイアミの最高気温は？
90〜91°F 43%
88〜89°F 26%
92～93°F 15%
86〜87°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
79°F以下
1%
80～81°F
2%
82〜83°F
4%
84～85°F
9%
86〜87°F
11%
88〜89°F
26%
90〜91°F
43%
92～93°F
15%
94〜95°F
3%
96〜97°F
2%
98°F以上
1%
90〜91°F 43%
88〜89°F 26%
92～93°F 15%
86〜87°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
79°F以下
$0 Vol.
1%
80～81°F
$0 Vol.
2%
82〜83°F
$24 Vol.
4%
84～85°F
$8 Vol.
9%
86〜87°F
$43 Vol.
11%
88〜89°F
$0 Vol.
26%
90〜91°F
$160 Vol.
43%
92～93°F
$198 Vol.
15%
94〜95°F
$100 Vol.
3%
96〜97°F
$28 Vol.
2%
98°F以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 90°F under partly sunny skies with scattered thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, driven by typical summer sea-breeze convergence and abundant tropical moisture that caps extreme daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 90-91°F outcome at 39% implied probability, while the secondary clustering around 88-89°F and 92-93°F reflects model uncertainty in storm timing and coverage. Prolonged above-normal heat through July, including record heat-index duration, has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, yet climatological averages near 89°F and frequent convective cooling keep probabilities for 94°F or higher below 3%. Updated short-range model runs and the final Miami International Airport observation will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
音量
$561終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 90°F under partly sunny skies with scattered thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, driven by typical summer sea-breeze convergence and abundant tropical moisture that caps extreme daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 90-91°F outcome at 39% implied probability, while the secondary clustering around 88-89°F and 92-93°F reflects model uncertainty in storm timing and coverage. Prolonged above-normal heat through July, including record heat-index duration, has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, yet climatological averages near 89°F and frequent convective cooling keep probabilities for 94°F or higher below 3%. Updated short-range model runs and the final Miami International Airport observation will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$561終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 4 point to a high near 90°F under partly sunny skies with scattered thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, driven by typical summer sea-breeze convergence and abundant tropical moisture that caps extreme daytime heating. This aligns with the market's leading 90-91°F outcome at 39% implied probability, while the secondary clustering around 88-89°F and 92-93°F reflects model uncertainty in storm timing and coverage. Prolonged above-normal heat through July, including record heat-index duration, has sustained elevated baseline temperatures, yet climatological averages near 89°F and frequent convective cooling keep probabilities for 94°F or higher below 3%. Updated short-range model runs and the final Miami International Airport observation will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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