Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Qingdao's August 5 maximum near 30–32°C under stable high pressure and moderate southeasterly flow, with sea breezes from the Yellow Sea often moderating coastal readings by 1–3°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shifts, and localized urban heating that can push the daily peak higher than guidance. Historical August variability and the typical 2–4°C spread in short-range model runs for this coastal site explain why traders assign meaningful probability across these narrow thresholds rather than lower outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の青島の最高気温は？
8月5日の青島の最高気温は？
35℃ 38%
36°C以上 31%
34℃ 28%
33°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34℃
28%
35℃
37%
36°C以上
31%
35℃ 38%
36°C以上 31%
34℃ 28%
33°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
26℃以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$5 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$10 Vol.
4%
31°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
18%
34℃
$2 Vol.
28%
35℃
$31 Vol.
37%
36°C以上
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Qingdao's August 5 maximum near 30–32°C under stable high pressure and moderate southeasterly flow, with sea breezes from the Yellow Sea often moderating coastal readings by 1–3°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shifts, and localized urban heating that can push the daily peak higher than guidance. Historical August variability and the typical 2–4°C spread in short-range model runs for this coastal site explain why traders assign meaningful probability across these narrow thresholds rather than lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$88終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Qingdao's August 5 maximum near 30–32°C under stable high pressure and moderate southeasterly flow, with sea breezes from the Yellow Sea often moderating coastal readings by 1–3°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shifts, and localized urban heating that can push the daily peak higher than guidance. Historical August variability and the typical 2–4°C spread in short-range model runs for this coastal site explain why traders assign meaningful probability across these narrow thresholds rather than lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$88終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from major models place Qingdao's August 5 maximum near 30–32°C under stable high pressure and moderate southeasterly flow, with sea breezes from the Yellow Sea often moderating coastal readings by 1–3°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind shifts, and localized urban heating that can push the daily peak higher than guidance. Historical August variability and the typical 2–4°C spread in short-range model runs for this coastal site explain why traders assign meaningful probability across these narrow thresholds rather than lower outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問